OPINIONS

Fri 02 Aug 2024 9:31 am - Jerusalem Time

The region is at a crossroads and on the threshold of major developments.

Putin, in his meeting with Assad in Moscow on 7/24/2024, seems to have accurate intelligence information that the region is heading towards escalation, and Syria will be at the heart of that escalation, not by the Takfiri and terrorist groups in the occupied north of Syria, but by Israel, and Putin has what he said and what he will say, through the desire of the far-right evangelical and racist American and European, who wants to expand the circle of war globally, regionally and in the Middle East. The 75th NATO Summit in America, among its decisions, is to allocate $40 billion in Western European financial support to Ukraine, and to give it a free hand to use advanced Western weapons, including strategic missiles and others, to strike deep inside Russia, as well as to deploy strategic weapons and American hypersonic missiles in Germany, which poses a direct threat to Russian national security, and to impose more financial and economic sanctions on Russia. Yes, the translation of what Putin said and what preceded Netanyahu's meeting with Biden and his speech in the house of the American global slander "Congress", and the gypsy dance and applause party for Netanyahu from its members, as the biggest hypocrisy party as described by Nasrallah in the eulogy of Hajj Mohsen, Commander Fouad Shukr. Israel launched a large-scale aggression on the Yemeni port of Hodeidah with "F-35" aircraft, targeting fuel storage sites and the power station. It was approved in the first reading in the Knesset by a majority of 68 votes in favor versus 9 votes against, rejecting the establishment of a Palestinian state on part of "the entire land of Israel", in the language of Gideon Sa'ar, leader of the National Right Party, in a clear denial of the existence of a Palestinian people and Palestinian land and the cancellation and erasure of the lie of the two-state solution.


The Zionist right, with its religious, biblical and nationalist wings, rejects any form of Palestinian entity, and was able to establish a Palestinian state on part of historical Palestine... after the Netanyahu-Biden meeting. Decisions were made that were essentially to link the strategic files in the region to each other, in a way that would not allow or permit Israel to be defeated, or enable the axis of resistance to win the battle and triumph in the Gaza Strip, as this would threaten all American strategic interests in the region, and pose an existential threat to the future of Israel's existence. Therefore, Netanyahu handed over his negotiating papers to Biden regarding the ceasefire and the exchange deal in the Strip, with Netanyahu's modified conditions that cancel reaching an agreement on a prisoner exchange deal, except within his conditions. Biden must "milk" the Arab mediating party, Qatar and Egypt, and exert pressure on it, in order to pressure Hamas and the resistance to respond to Netanyahu's conditions. Therefore, this plan and project became clear from what was known as the Rome Quartet negotiations between America, Israel, Qatar and Egypt regarding the prisoner exchange deal, as Netanyahu only sent the head of the "Mossad" David Barnea to those negotiations, while the head of the "Shabak" Gonen Bar and the head of the Prisoners and Missing Persons Committee, Nitzan Alon, were absent from those negotiations, because they were convinced that Netanyahu does not want a prisoner exchange deal and links its completion to his impossible conditions. America, which is facing the obligation to withdraw its forces from Iraq, wants to evade completing it, by linking the file of withdrawing its army and security forces from Iraq and Syria to the fate of the ceasefire and the prisoner exchange deal as an exit card that is being presented at a critical time.


Therefore, the decision of American military and political coordination, and to raise Netanyahu’s credit and his personal, political and party presence, requires carrying out major operations that go beyond and break all the rules of engagement, and with American decision and approval.
The military operations launched in the southern suburb on Tuesday evening, 7/30/2024, targeting Commander Fouad Shukr, as well as the assassination of Hamas Political Bureau Chief Ismail Haniyeh at dawn on Wednesday, 7/31/2024 in Tehran, the bombing of the port of Hodeidah, and America's bombing of Popular Mobilization Forces camps in Iraq, all indicate that the region is at a crossroads and has entered a new phase and development. We know that Netanyahu realizes that assassinations and bombings will not weaken the resistance factions or their axis. Rather, the assassinations of many Palestinian, Arab and Iranian resistance leaders have shown that they have contributed to hardening and strengthening them, reinforcing their resolve and internal cohesion, and their graph is rising. Nasrallah said in his farewell speech to Commander Fouad Shukr that the graph of the Islamic Jihad organizations, Hamas, Hezbollah and other resistance movements and jihadist movements whose leaders were assassinated is rising, developing, strengthening, hardening and expanding.


Netanyahu, in the operations carried out in the southern suburbs, the heart of Tehran, the port of Hodeidah, and the massacres in the Gaza Strip, wanted to escape forward and compensate for his inability and loss in the field, and to search for an image of victory, to restore his image and regain his popularity, and to restore the confidence of Israeli society in his army, military establishment, and security services, and that his army and security services are capable of reaching any target in any country.


The assassinations and bombings carried out by Israel carried political and security messages to Iran as the head of the axis, and all the movements of the axis, that its hand and arms are long, and that no geographical spot constitutes a safe and secure place for the leaders of the resistance, even in Tehran itself, which it wanted to show as incapable of protecting its guests, and it also wanted to create a rift between the resistance and Tehran against the backdrop of the assassination of Haniyeh on its land and as a guest.


The recent Israeli operations, which caused temporary joy in Israel, seem to have responses coming, and they are real, harsh and painful responses, and not responses in the framework of show, formality and limited, and this is evident from the words of the Supreme Leader and Commander-in-Chief of the Iranian Armed Forces, Imam Ali Khamenei, during the funeral prayer for the body of the great leader Ismail Haniyeh at Tehran University, when he said that the response to this crime will be as great as the crime, if not greater and broader, as this crime affected Iran not only in its national security, sovereignty and dignity, but more importantly in its honor, and Nasrallah also said in the farewell to the leader Hajj Fouad, that the response to the assassination of the leader Fouad Shukr is separate from the support front, which will return to its work tomorrow, Friday, as usual, as for the response to the crime of assassinating the leader Fouad Shukr, it will be real and the search will be through a real opportunity, and the response is now in the hands of the field, and there is no stopping the support fronts without stopping the war on the Gaza Strip, and the support fronts are no longer support fronts, but rather a comprehensive battle in all arenas.


So, it is clear from the words of the Supreme Leader Imam Khamenei in the prayer over the body of Commander Haniyeh, and Nasrallah’s words in bidding farewell to Commander Fouad Shukr, that the region is heading towards escalation, and standing on the doorstep of a comprehensive regional war, in which the field will have its say through the response to the fronts of the axis of resistance, and the targets that will be reached and the nature of those targets and the targeted places, as well as the Israeli response, and perhaps the American response to those targeting operations. If it carries a broad and dangerous escalation and targets vital, strategic, military, security and economic targets and important leaders of the axis, this will push towards the outbreak of a comprehensive war in the region, which Netanyahu wanted but feared and pushed America to participate in it. However, after the decision to respond by the axis led by Tehran and its movements in Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq and Palestine, and the statements issued by the US Secretary of Defense Austin, that America will stand by Israel militarily if it is targeted, and move its ships and warships near the Lebanese coast, this means that America will be a direct partner with Israel in this war, contrary to its declared positions. The misleading, deceptive and lying statement in which it says that it is working to curb the escalation in the region, while it has not taken any practical step to curb its ally and partner Israel, but by targeting the southern suburb and assassinating the leader Fouad Shukr, it said that Israel has the right to defend itself.


The region is moving from negotiating on a hot plate to playing on the edge of the abyss. Any foolishness or recklessness may lead to a slide towards the abyss and a major regional war.

Netanyahu, in the operations carried out in the southern suburb, the heart of Tehran, the port of Hodeidah, and the massacres in the Gaza Strip, wanted to escape forward and compensate for his inability and loss in the field, and to search for an image of victory, to restore his image and regain his popularity, and to restore the confidence of Israeli society in his army.

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The region is at a crossroads and on the threshold of major developments.