Difficulty explaining the obvious...

There are analyzes that need deep thinking, taking the subject from its various angles and turning it around in several aspects, linking matters that are barely insinuated and others that are completely hidden and others that are declared, going back to the past and looking at precedence and measuring them, taking subjective and objective considerations among those involved in a case, and then linking some of them some to reach convincing conclusions that are close to the truth, a process that requires extensive involvement, the ability to analyze, and a comprehensive vision.

The real problem is in analyzing what does not need to be analyzed, because it is like interpreting water after effort with water.

The position on what is happening in Al-Aqsa is clear and does not need an explanation. Despite this, we see analysts from different sects and regions preoccupied with it.

The incursions continue throughout the year, and it is a declared policy that seeks to impose a new fait accompli on the Al-Aqsa Mosque campus, and its temporal and spatial division between Muslims and Jews, meaning that Muslims have known and limited hours during which they enter the sanctuary that Jews do not enter, at least in the early stages, and for Jews Known hours during which they enter the sanctuary and during which Muslims are prevented from entering it, then the Jewish control over it expands little by little, according to local, Arab, Islamic and international circumstances and reactions.

From this point of view, they attack the seclusion in Al-Aqsa, and consider that their presence obstructs this plan, as the time set for Muslims ends with the end of the evening prayer, and whoever remains after that in the mosque is considered an “instigator and saboteur.”

In his justification for the recent storming, in which hundreds of young men were arrested after they were beaten with batons, rifle butts, and all kinds of abuse, Netanyahu said that the police entered the mosque to remove worshipers who had been detained by "extremist elements" and forced them to stay in the mosque.

These words are not directed at domestic consumption, as all Jews and Arabs know that it is a thick lie, but he directs it to America, the West and the world, as there are those who still hear, or need such nonsense to justify their positions in support of the occupation.

The current escalation is related to the situation of the current government, and Netanyahu wants it to be a calculated escalation, first an opportunity to embarrass his opponents who are demonstrating against his judicial reforms, and what they call a dictatorship, and at the same time give his allies among the religious nationalists what they are asking for. The Commander-in-Chief of the Police declares his opposition to the storming of Al-Aqsa in the past ten years, because he expects the results, which may lead to a loss of control and an expansion of the confrontations on the various fronts.

Netanyahu does not want Hezbollah and Iran behind it to reach a situation that forces them to confront and intervene, because this means contributing to raising Iran’s shares, and giving a strong impetus to the Iranian-Saudi rapprochement, and this disturbs the atmosphere for the normalizers, especially those who have a relationship with Jerusalem such as the Jordanian regime, which is considered an agent of Administration of holy sites in Jerusalem according to the Wadi Araba agreements.

The escalation will push the Jordanian people to take to the streets in anger, in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque and the people who are subjected to abuse in its vicinity simply for performing religious rituals, and this will put Jordanian-Israeli diplomatic relations under great pressure that King Abdullah cannot ignore. This will apply to other Arab countries.

For their part, the "Hamas" and "Islamic Jihad" movements in the Gaza Strip cannot remain silent if the attacks on the mosque and worshipers escalate, and they will be forced to respond, in coordination with Hezbollah, and this will trigger a response.

Hezbollah, which declared on every occasion that Al-Aqsa is not alone, will find itself in a confrontation that it does not want, but it cannot ignore it, and it may retaliate. Who and how and with his knowledge.

The statements of the leaders of the opposition parties that Netanyahu may demolish what his predecessors built. They intend to strain relations with countries such as Egypt, Jordan and Morocco, as well as with Islamic countries, even those far away, in addition to losing the traditional sympathy of many European countries, and of course weakening the Palestinian Authority so that its role ends, and this For Netanyahu's opponents, it means returning to the square that preceded the Oslo Accords, and this means burying a stage and starting a new stage of the conflict.

We said that the obvious must be clarified, which is that the occupation is the first and last responsible for escalating or reducing the flames, and is responsible for the results in both cases. About "Arab 48"