PALESTINE

Sun 04 Aug 2024 1:03 pm - Jerusalem Time

"Anxiety paralyze life in Israel." Is the great war imminent?

Dr. Abdul Majeed Suwailem: The anticipation that the Israelis are suffering from is more difficult than the defeat itself, psychologically and security-wise
 Hani Abu Al-Sabaa: The "Axis of Resistance" may resort to assassinating important political or security figures in Israel
 Antoine Shalhat: The state of waiting created an atmosphere of terror in Israeli society and expectations of harsh responses
 Imad Moussa: The delay in the response of the "Axis of Resistance" may push Israel and America to launch destructive preemptive strikes


Israeli society is experiencing an unprecedented state of tension and anxiety, awaiting the military strike that Iran, Hezbollah and Hamas have threatened to launch against the Israeli occupation state, in revenge and response to the two assassinations that targeted the head of the Hamas political bureau, Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran, and the prominent military commander in Hezbollah, Fouad Shukr, in the southern suburbs of Beirut. This waiting and anxiety is not limited to Israeli society alone, but extends to all countries in the region and perhaps the world, in light of the possible scenarios for the nature of the response that Iran and Hezbollah have mainly threatened, and whether Israel will respond to the response, especially if it is harsh and goes beyond the rules of the current confrontation, such that it expands and turns into a major or comprehensive war, and whether the Israeli army is qualified to expand the scope of the war, and whether the United States will intervene directly alongside its ally and partner, Israel.


Writers and political analysts who spoke to Al-Quds.com believe that this anxiety and anticipation reflects the fragility of the security situation in Israel, as Israel fears that the upcoming strikes will be open-ended in terms of targets and the type of weapons used. This increases the tension in Israeli society and affects the course of daily life, which has almost come to a standstill, reflecting a shocking psychological state that Israelis are not accustomed to.

Assassinations reflect the fragility of the Israeli security situation

Writer and political analyst Dr. Abdul Majeed Suwailem said that Israeli anticipation is currently at its peak, which proves that the assassinations carried out by Israel are showy, aiming to achieve quick gains, but they reflect the fragility of the security situation in Israel.


Suwailem pointed out that the Israeli society is living in a state of anticipation and anxiety, as it shows that Israel is in a state of confusion and fear, as all areas from the north to the south are witnessing a state of continuous tension, especially since the upcoming strikes may be open in terms of targets, the type of weapons used, and the extent of destruction.


Suwailem explained that the anticipation that the Israelis are suffering from is more difficult than the defeat itself, not only from a psychological standpoint, but also from a security standpoint.

Netanyahu is responsible for the suffering of his society
Suwailem wondered about the security that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has achieved from the assassinations that were carried out, pointing out that for the first time in its history, Israeli society feels that it may be at risk, and that the fragility it suffers from today was caused by the policies of Netanyahu and his government, in line with his personal interests, without achieving tangible results from these policies, which puts Israel in a circle of defeat, especially since the United States will not get involved in the war, but will remain supportive of Israel, pointing out that the Israeli army is exhausted and has been struck in sensitive centers.


He pointed out that life in Israel has become paralyzed, suspended and dependent on anxiety, war and its consequences, which reflects a shocking psychological state that Israeli society is not accustomed to.

Fleeing south in search of safety
Suwailem pointed out that the residents of the north of Israel cannot predict whether the war will become a ground war or not, as some are heading south in search of safety. He stressed that Israel has already begun to suffer losses, with warnings of a shift from a limited war to a destructive and large war that may include the use of various weapons, and we may be talking about the massive destruction of cities, hundreds of thousands of deaths in the region, and perhaps millions of deaths and injuries.


Suwailem expected that the expected response from the "Axis of Resistance" would be strong, with unexpected strategies that might put Israel in a difficult position. They will follow strategies that the Israelis would not have thought of, and we cannot predict where things will lead.


Suwailem stressed that the stage of Israeli deterrence and Israel's ability to dominate has ended, and it did not expect anyone to respond to it. The situation has entered a new stage, and Israel will not be able to return to its previous era of dominance.

Strategic reasons behind the delayed response
In turn, writer and political analyst Hani Abu Al-Sabaa said: The delay in response, waiting and anticipation carry within them several strategic reasons.


Abu Al-Sabaa pointed out that the "Axis of Resistance" aims to achieve great gains, and choose a strong response such as carrying out assassinations of important figures in Israel, whether political or security.


Abu Al-Sabaa pointed out that there is a heavy deployment of American, British and French forces in the airspace, which may negatively affect the effectiveness of the Iranian and Hezbollah response and thwart it. International efforts are also seeking to control the responses and make them limited and controlled to avoid major escalation.

The Israeli economy is in a state of complete paralysis
Abu Al-Sabaa pointed out that the state of anticipation has noticeable effects on Israeli society, as the Israeli economy is witnessing a state of complete paralysis, as thousands of factories have been closed, parking lots have been evacuated, and many settlers have been transferred to areas such as Eilat and Beersheba, which has led to most hotels in those areas being full. Educational institutions have also been closed, and celebrations in public squares have been banned. These measures reflect a complete paralysis in daily life, which leads to great economic pressures on Israel and America, and reflects a political and military disintegration in the reactions to the decisions of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu regarding the monopoly of managing the war.

The response will determine the future of the region.
Abu Al-Sabaa said that the next response will determine the future landscape of the region, noting that the situation is on the brink of collapse. However, Abu Al-Sabaa pointed out that the current escalation may stop with political efforts aimed at resolving the crisis.


On the Palestinian level, Abu Al-Sabaa pointed out that the Palestinian people are living in a state of anticipation, especially since they do not have sufficient shelters and security systems.


Abu Al-Sabaa pointed out that the people of the West Bank fear a repeat of the Gaza scenario, and are afraid that Israel will exploit the situation to escalate the massacres and deport the Palestinian people despite the unprecedented Palestinian steadfastness.


In the event of war, the Arab peoples are expected to suffer, but they will remain supportive of the Palestinian people in facing crises, according to Abu Al-Sabaa.

The state of anticipation is at its highest in Israel
As for the writer and political analyst Antoine Shalhat, he said: The Israeli state of anticipation regarding Iran and Hezbollah’s responses to the assassination of the head of the political bureau of Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, and the leader of Hezbollah, Fouad Shukr, is at the highest and most dangerous level, especially since both Iran and Hezbollah have announced their intention to respond to these two crimes, but what increases the concern is that the details of this response remain vague, whether in terms of its nature (security, military, or targeting civilians) or its timing.


According to Shalhat, Israeli expectations indicate that the response may be severe, given the severity of the strikes that Iran and Lebanon have been subjected to, with the possibility that the response will be at a more serious level than the previous response that occurred last April, but there is greater Israeli concern about whether the response will lead to an escalation that fuels a comprehensive war.


Shalhat pointed out that many leaders, writers and opinion makers in Israel believe that the timing of the war is not appropriate for Israel at the present time, as it is not fully prepared, its relations will be affected, and the economy will be damaged, in addition to internal criticism indicating that the war will not contribute to the return of the kidnapped, and that the assassination operations did not achieve the desired results.

Decline in street traffic and flight abroad
Regarding the delay in the Iranian and Hezbollah response, Shalhat explained that it may be related to choosing the right time and place.
He pointed out that the state of waiting and anticipation led to the creation of an atmosphere of terror within Israeli society, as movement in the streets and public places decreased, and travel abroad became more frequent, and the ambiguity surrounding the possible response increases tension within Israeli society.


He said: While the possible escalation is being discussed in Israel, negotiations on a deal continue, which may perhaps indicate that Israel is seeking to close the file of the war on the Gaza Strip in order to free itself up to face the challenges related to the war on Lebanon.


Shalhat added: The content and nature of the Iranian and Hezbollah response could contribute to closing the current response file, and may lead to a comprehensive escalation or even a wide regional war, but, so far, no one can accurately predict how things will turn out.

Ensure the element of surprise and study the targets more carefully
In turn, writer and political analyst Imad Musa considered that Iran and Hezbollah’s delay in responding to the assassination of Haniyeh and Shukr reflects a complex strategy aimed at ensuring the element of surprise and surprise, studying the targets more carefully, and creating a state of tension in the Israeli security and military system.


He explained that Iran had followed similar strategies in the past, to enable it to monitor the positioning of warships supporting Israel, which enhances its ability to respond more effectively.


In light of this anticipation, Israel appears to be in a state of confusion, as it seeks to minimize the impact of the potential strike and reduce losses through measures including asking factories to evacuate explosive materials in order to reduce losses and avert risks, according to Musa.


Musa said: From a societal perspective, this state of anticipation constitutes a destructive strategy for Israeli society, which is going through an unprecedented experience of tension and anxiety. This tension is pushing Israelis to buy essential supplies and creating psychological crises that affect their behavior, which leads to social and political pressure on the government.


In contrast, Musa believes that the Palestinian citizen, thanks to his previous experiences, shows a greater ability to adapt and cope with crises.

Features of the day after Iran and Hezbollah's response
Musa predicted that "if the axis of resistance does not respond quickly in the coming few days, Israel and the United States may launch preemptive destructive strikes targeting vital targets, which could lead to the outbreak of a large-scale war."


He explained that the goal of this war would be to destroy the military forces hostile to Israel and America, which would negatively affect the lives of the peoples of the region and lead to great destruction, in addition to stopping maritime and air navigation and its repercussions on the global economy.


Moussa pointed out that the features of the day following the Iranian and Hezbollah response will depend largely on the nature of the Israeli response.


Musa saw that this is "not a war of liberation, but rather an attempt to put an end to American and Israeli arrogance at a time when the world is reshaping its alliances, as happened after the major transformations it witnessed after World War II."

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"Anxiety paralyze life in Israel." Is the great war imminent?