The leaked document, dating back to October 2023, referred to the “forcible” transfer of residents of the Gaza Strip to Sinai, noting that this “will achieve positive and long-term strategic results.”

The leaked advisory document outlined a three-stage process: “establishing tent cities in Sinai, opening a humanitarian corridor, building cities in North Sinai and not allowing residents to return to activity or residence near the Israeli border.”

The document indicated that Gila Gamaliel, the Israeli Minister of Intelligence, strongly supports the forced displacement plan and recommended that the residents of Gaza be transferred to Sinai at the end of the war.

The official document of the Ministry of Intelligence recommends that the security apparatus implement a complete transfer of all residents of the Gaza Strip to North Sinai as it is the preferred option among the three alternatives it presents regarding the future of the Palestinians in the Strip.

The document recommends that Israel take action to “evacuate the residents of Gaza to Sinai” during the war, and at the same time, the countries of the world, led by the United States, must be harnessed to implement this step.

The ten-page document is dated October 13 and contains the logo of the Ministry of Intelligence.

The document also unequivocally and explicitly recommends the implementation of the transfer of civilians from Gaza as the desired outcome of the war.

The transfer plan is divided into several stages. In the first stage, the residents of Gaza must be evacuated to the south, while air force strikes will focus on the northern part of the Strip. In the second stage, ground entry into Gaza will begin, which will lead to the occupation of the entire Strip from north to south, and clearing the bunkers under it. The land is from Hamas fighters.

In conjunction with the occupation of the Gaza Strip, Gaza citizens will move to Egyptian territory and leave the Gaza Strip, and will not be allowed to return to it permanently.

“It is important to leave the corridors towards the south usable to allow the evacuation of the civilian population towards Rafah,” the document stated.

An official in the Ministry of Intelligence confirmed that the document was authentic and was distributed to the security apparatus on behalf of the Policy Division in the Ministry and was not supposed to reach the media, but the “Calcalist” website was able to obtain it and publish its content.

According to an official in the Ministry of Intelligence, the ministry’s employees are behind these recommendations.

The source confirmed that the ministry's studies "are not based on military intelligence information" and are used only as a basis for discussions within the government.

In the document, it is proposed to promote a campaign dedicated to the citizens of Gaza that would “motivate them to agree to the plan” and make them give up their lands, as it makes clear that the messages should be centered around the loss of the land, that is, making clear that there is no longer hope of returning to the lands that Israel will occupy in near future.

“God has made sure that you will lose this land because of the leadership of Hamas - the only option is to move to another place with the help of your Muslim brothers,” the document read.

In addition, it is written that the government should lead a public campaign that would promote the transfer program in the Western world “in a way that does not incite and tarnish Israel,” and in which the transfer of residents from Gaza would be presented as a humanitarianly necessary step that would win world support because it would lead to “There were fewer casualties among the civilian population than the expected number of casualties and what remained.”

The document also stipulates that the United States should be harnessed in this step so that it can put pressure on Egypt to absorb the population of Gaza, and harness other European countries, especially Greece, Spain and Canada, to help absorb and settle the population of Gaza.

The Ministry of Intelligence said that the document was not distributed through the ministry to American officials, but only to the Israeli government and security services.

The Intelligence Ministry document was first leaked in a small internal WhatsApp group of right-wing activists promoting the re-establishment of Israel.

According to one of these activists, the document from the Ministry of Intelligence reached them through the mediation of “a Likud member.”

Regarding this difficulty, the document states that Egypt would have an “obligation under international law to allow the passage of residents,” and that the United States could contribute to this step by exerting “pressure on Egypt, Turkey, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia,” while the UAE would contribute to the initiative whether With resources or by receiving displaced people.

In the document, it is proposed to launch a campaign directed at the Arab world, countries such as Saudi Arabia, Morocco, Libya and Tunisia.

Finally, the document states that the “mass migration” of populations from combat zones is a “natural and necessary consequence.”

"The most dangerous alternative"

The document offers two other alternatives regarding the citizens of Gaza the day after the war. The first is to import Palestinian Authority rule into Gaza, and the second is to develop another local Arab rule as an alternative to Hamas.

He claims that both alternatives are strategically and security-wise undesirable for Israel, and will not provide a sufficient deterrence message, especially for Hezbollah in Lebanon, in response to the October 7 attack.

The study's authors claimed that introducing the Palestinian Authority into Gaza is the "most dangerous alternative" of the three, because it may "lead to the establishment of a Palestinian state."

“And remember that the division among the Palestinian population is one of the main obstacles today to the establishment of a Palestinian state, and it is not possible that the result of this October 7 attack will be an unprecedented victory for the Palestinian national movement and pave the way for the establishment of a Palestinian state.”

The document claims that the model of Israeli military rule and civilian rule of the Palestinian Authority, as it exists in the West Bank, is expected to fail in Gaza, as there is no way to maintain an effective military occupation in Gaza except on the basis of a military presence and without settlement, and in a short time there will be a demand Israeli internal and international withdrawal.

The document's authors added that in such a situation, Israel would be considered a colonial power with an occupying army, but worse, to rule there today.

As for the last alternative, which is the formation of a local Arab leadership to replace Hamas, it is undesirable according to what is written in the document, because there are no local opposition movements to Hamas, and the new leadership may be more extreme. The possible scenario is not an ideological change in perception, but rather the creation of Islamic movements. New and perhaps more extreme, as the document says regarding this alternative.

Finally, it is claimed that if Gazans remain in the Strip, there will be many deaths during the expected occupation of Gaza, and this will harm Israel's international image even more than the transfer of residents. For all these reasons, the Ministry of Intelligence recommends encouraging the permanent transfer of all citizens from Gaza to Sinai.