Israeli intelligence estimates that the possibility of entering into a real and large-scale war on several fronts during the next year.

According to the report of the Intelligence Division of the General Staff of the Israeli Army, as reported in the Hebrew newspaper Haaretz, the series of recent events on various fronts may push towards this war even if unintentionally, despite the widespread belief that Iran , Hezbollah and Hamas are not interested. with a direct and comprehensive conflict, but they are ready to take risks and gamble by daring to carry out more offensive operations, because they see that Israel has been weakened by the internal crisis, which has reduced the space for strategic maneuver.

The Hebrew newspaper says that Al-Aqsa Mosque is still the source of "the main explosion that ignited the fire", especially after it was stormed by the Israeli police and attacked the worshipers inside, which prompted the firing of rockets from Lebanon , Syria and Gaza, and the implementation of the Jordan Valley and Tel Aviv operations.

She pointed out that the Al-Aqsa Mosque will remain the focus of attention until the end of Ramadan, especially as it intersects with the holidays of the three religions, the Jewish Passover, the Christian Passover, and Eid al-Fitr for Muslims.

And she indicated that the recent escalation came in light of the change in the strategic environment for Israel, due to the reduction of American interest in what is happening in the Middle East, the increase in Iranian self-confidence, which is expressed in direct attempts to challenge Israel, and the increase in instability in the Palestinian arena.

It saw that Hamas avoided a military confrontation in Gaza, but tried to ignite other fronts by focusing on attacks from Jerusalem and the West Bank, and encouraging the launch of these attacks, at a time when the Palestinian Authority is weakened due to corruption and indulging in the growing struggle to succeed President Mahmoud Abbas, which he is actively moving. External factors, including the Americans, were active. In addition to all this frustration among the young generation in the West Bank, which exacerbated the severity of the attacks, especially with the availability of weapons on a large scale and their willingness to fight and come out with their weapons at every shooting operation to target the Israeli forces, which increased friction and with it the number of victims. Which contributes to igniting the situation.

And it considered that the unusual developments that occurred recently are the firing of missiles from Lebanon, and the attack in Megiddo, noting that these events took place with the approval of Hezbollah, although the Israeli intelligence insists that it is not.

The ministers informed the Israeli cabinet that the rocket launches took place at the initiative of Hamas in Lebanon, and it appears that the instructions of Saleh al-Arouri and Khaled Meshaal were instructed.

She pointed out the possibility that the meeting that took place between Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh and Saleh Al-Arouri was aimed at agreeing to manage the conflict with Israel.

And she believed that the common denominator in these developments coming from Lebanon is the willingness to deviate from the previous reaction equations and the willingness to risk more stringent measures, despite the possibility that this will result in a harsh response from Israel, noting that the Israeli response was limited in Lebanon, and expanded in The Gaza Strip, on the recommendation of the army command, which preferred not to enter into a confrontation with Hezbollah, especially with assurances that it was not involved in firing rockets.

She pointed out that the far-right ministers, including Itamar Ben Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, voted in favor of the decision, like some of the new Likud ministers who began to realize the limits of power, and that not everything they desire can be done, especially when you are sitting in the room where decisions are made.