A translation of "Jerusalem" dot com - Israeli analyst and security expert Ron Ben-Yishai said, on Sunday, that the operation that took place yesterday at the Shuafat camp checkpoint, northeast of Jerusalem, was expected given the continuation of the current wave of attacks, to varying degrees, for 7 months, with the start of a wave of attacks. Operations in the cities of the Green Line, a whole period in which the Israeli army invested a lot in order to "curb terrorism", which reduced the death toll.

In an analytical report on the Hebrew website, Ynet, Ben Yishai said that the current wave has unique and even somewhat new characteristics, and therefore dealing with it requires a different method than what is known.

And he considered that the attack in Shuafat coincides with what could be called "an escalation, or a Tik Tok uprising" - as he said - noting that the attacks that have been carried out recently are by Palestinians under the age of thirty and are directed mainly against the Israeli army forces and points of contact.

He pointed out that the roots of the "escalation of Tik Tok" go back to before Operation "Guardian of the Walls / Sword of Jerusalem" in May 2021, which began with Palestinian youths getting used to uploading videos attacking settlers, especially in Jerusalem, and this phenomenon took a big step forward and became A global phenomenon, and a source of inspiration for other young people, even in different countries who are taking to the streets like Iran currently against the regimes, and even in Europe against the restrictions of Corona, and the communication networks have an effect, even in the Palestinian case, although many of them do not have an ideological basis or an organizational background .

And he considered that this is a result of the Palestinian Authority and even organizations such as Hamas and Islamic Jihad losing patriarchal authority over these young men, and many of the shootings are due to the weapons spread among young people in the West Bank, such as the “Lions’ Den” group, who are famous on Tik Tok, and have turned into a source of inspiration. For young people to imitate them by the weapons they have, and upon arresting any of them, they admit that they are acting without any ideological, political or religious motive. According to his claim.

According to Israeli security sources, the "Lions' Den" group arouses the resentment of those with economic interests in Nablus, but even the Palestinian security services are powerless.

The Israeli security establishment refuses to define what is going on as an "uprising", and prefers to consider it a "wave or escalation", because the majority of the population does not participate in it, while the participants are young people who are frustrated and angry with Israel and the Palestinian Authority, and express this with attacks against the Israeli army and settlers. .

Why not carry out Operation Defensive Shield 2?

In the Israeli security system, they blame the Palestinian security services for what is happening, and for this reason the latter started to move recently, but its actions are not sufficient, and Hamas and Islamic Jihad are not leading the current wave, despite their contribution to it through the continuous “incitement” directed mainly from Gaza and Turkey. And through financial encouragement, pushing for documenting the attacks and uploading them on the Internet.

He points out that flooding the West Bank with regular soldiers and reservists will not reduce the motivation of Palestinian youth to work, on the contrary, which will increase friction and cause a greater number of Palestinian victims, which fuels the fire and prompts more of them to enter into an escalation to turn into an intifada, and this is in response to Who calls for Operation Defensive Shield 2, says Ben Yishai?

As for those who call for the cessation of the current operations, this will mean the exit of the gunmen to the places of concentration of the Israeli army, as happened yesterday evening, and therefore the most important and urgent question has become, what is the magical solution to that?!.

He explains that one of the reasons for not wanting Operation Defensive Wall 2 is that when the Israeli army entered the Palestinian territories in 2002, it stayed there for a long time and this allowed the Shin Bet to obtain intelligence information, which led to the decline of the second intifada, and this operation caused the cessation of military preparations. permanent war, and its results appeared in the 2006 Lebanon War.

He said: Therefore, it is desirable as much as possible to avoid a major operation, and what is more, that the Israeli army today does not lack intelligence information in the territories like in 2002 .. The Shin Bet and the Israeli army provide accurate and up-to-date intelligence every hour, but the problem today is the friction itself between the security forces and the Palestinians, and its results are evident not only in the attacks and confrontations with the army, but also in the many cases of throwing stones and Molotov cocktails at settlers.”

And he considered that to achieve the desired results, the closure must continue to be imposed on the Palestinian areas from which the wave of attacks originate, and this will lead to suffering among the Palestinians and may restrain these young men, and that countermeasures in Palestinian camps and cities must be reduced and focus only on "ticking bombs." To reduce direct friction and the number of Palestinian victims.

He says: "It is likely that the blockade and sudden roadblocks, and the improvement of the use of means of observation from the air and the ground, will not produce the desired results, then there will be no choice and there will be a need for a major operation that will last for months in the northern West Bank , allowing the army to collect a large part of The weapons that are in the centers of terrorism may claim many victims for both sides. According to his words and expression.

He adds, "This is not an intifada yet, but it must be understood that the wave of terrorism in TikTok differs in its characteristics and generators from previous waves of terrorism, and one must think of a different model to deal with it... We also need to acknowledge the fact that as long as the State of Israel insists on controlling 2.6 million Palestinians, these waves of terror will not only not stop, but will intensify.. It is unfortunate that the political instability that has lasted for nearly four years prevents even an organized discussion and staff work that might lead to a long-term settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict today Next to Abu Mazen. as seal.