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PALESTINE

Wed 11 Sep 2024 8:41 am - Jerusalem Time

The Gaza War Enters Its 11th Month with No End in Sight.. US Is the Exclusive Agent in Deception and Procrastination

Dr. Hussein Al-Deek: The difference between Washington and Netanyahu’s government is not about the goal of the war, but about its tactics

Muhammad Manasra: America is the biggest challenge facing peoples and its alliance with Israel is deeply rooted in ideology

Dr. Saad Nimr: Netanyahu is exploiting the weakness of the Biden administration to continue the war until the US elections

Talal Okal: The United States continues to support Israel without taking serious steps to end the Israeli aggression

Dr. Abdul Majeed Suwailem: America’s hesitation in ending the war is linked to its vision of the conflict and its political and security consequences

Dr. Mahmoud Al-Froukh: The US administration is weak and subservient to the Zionist lobby, and Netanyahu is exploiting it to extend the aggression on Gaza

Dr. Raed Abu Badawiyya: The US administration usually raises its voice when there are major protests inside Israel itself

Dr. Qusay Hamed: Washington will only intervene effectively if it sees that the continuation of the war threatens its interests in the Middle East



Since the beginning of the criminal Israeli war on the Gaza Strip, the United States has been conducting a political operation that shows it in a weak position and unable to compel Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to stop the war, despite its possession of all effective pressure tools, if it wanted to, foremost among which is the military support that has enabled the occupying state to continue its direct military operations, in addition to the economic and political support and diplomatic cover that grants Israel unprecedented immunity in international institutions, especially the Security Council, the Criminal Court, and the International Court of Justice.

Writers, political analysts, university professors and experts told “Y” that there is a belief that the difference between the United States and Netanyahu’s government is not related to the goals of the war on the Gaza Strip, but rather to the way it is being managed. While Washington seeks to resolve the detainees’ crisis, Netanyahu continues military pressure for political reasons related to Israel’s vision for resolving the conflict.

They believe that any change in the American position may only occur if Washington faces serious pressure from the countries of the world and the Arab and Islamic countries.


Hesitation is a constant American policy.


The expert on American affairs, Dr. Hussein Al-Deek, believes that the hesitation shown by the American position towards the war on the Gaza Strip is not a case of weakness or hesitation, but rather a fixed American policy.

Al-Deek said: The United States, whether in the Biden administration or within Congress and all American institutions, does not have a real political will to reach an agreement to stop the war.

Al-Deek pointed out that the difference between Washington and Benjamin Netanyahu's government is not about the goal of the war, but about tactics, as Washington wants to end the detainees' crisis, while Netanyahu seeks to continue military pressure, for partisan considerations and the vision of the deep state in Israel that the opportunity has been provided to resolve the conflict with the Palestinians.

Al-Deek pointed out that Israel relies heavily on unlimited American support, and there is a belief among progressives in the Democratic Party and those who support the Palestinian people that "the war on the Gaza Strip is an American war being waged by Israeli tools."

Al-Deek attributed this to the great influence of the Zionist lobby in American institutions, in addition to a religious ideological movement that supports Israel within the United States.


Biden administration unable to pressure Netanyahu


Regarding the possibility of the United States exerting real pressure on Israel to end the war, Al-Deek said: The Biden administration, which is approaching the end of its term, is unable to take effective or decisive steps towards Netanyahu.

He added: Even if the Democratic Party wins and Kamala Harris takes over the presidency, American policy towards Israel will not witness major changes, given the Democratic Party's consistent tendency to support Israel.

If Republican candidate Donald Trump wins, Al-Deek believes that this could represent a golden opportunity for Israel to obtain unprecedented support, which would strengthen Netanyahu's position and increase the chances of the war continuing.

He pointed out that any change in the American position on the war on Gaza will not happen until after the next American presidential elections.

Al-Deek said that the current indicators do not suggest that Israel intends to end the war soon or withdraw from the Gaza Strip, but developments after the US elections may lead to changes in policy, but it is difficult to predict that the war will end in the near term with Israel's insistence on occupying the Gaza Strip.


America is a partner and sponsor of crime


Writer and political analyst Muhammad Manasra believes that the United States of America is the greatest challenge facing the peoples of the world, especially the Palestinian people.

He described the US position on the ongoing war against the Palestinians and the crimes of genocide committed as one of partner and sponsor of the crime, which makes the United States unqualified to be a mediator in the conflict, no matter how much the media tries to market it.

He criticized the support of analysts and television programs that deal with what he described as the "alleged differences" between the administration of US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, explaining that these analyses do not reflect reality, as Israel is not a country separate from the United States in its decisions.

He considered the relationship between Washington and Tel Aviv to be deep-rooted, and that America is managing the Palestinian-Israeli conflict with the same approach it used in its negotiations with Egypt after the 1973 war, which led to the signing of the Camp David Accords.



The United States can stop the war, but it does not want to.


Manasra stressed that "the United States can stop the war and genocide, but it refuses to do so because, according to him, it is the same as Israel, and adopts policies that serve Christian Zionism, which he considers more dangerous than Jewish Zionism."

Manasra pointed out that all American policies aim to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state and to completely liquidate the Palestinian cause, noting that the military, financial and diplomatic support that Washington provides to Israel is part of a biblical faith of Christian Zionism that dominates American decisions.

Manasra explained that the Christian Zionist and Jewish Zionist influence in the United States has extended since the 1970s to passing legal legislation in Congress that guarantees continued support for Israel, such that Israel’s interests have become a priority that outweighs the interests of the United States itself.


Breaking American hegemony over the Palestinian issue is possible


Manasra believes that these laws make it difficult for any future US administration to take positions that conflict with Israel’s interests, unless counter-laws are enacted that redirect US policy.

Although he acknowledged the difficulty of changing this policy, Manasra said that breaking American hegemony over the Palestinian issue is possible through moves by Arab countries, stressing that the Palestinians themselves often offer “free gifts” to America and Israel as a result of the mistakes made by their organizations and parties.

He expressed his regret at the lack of any serious attempts by these organizations to evaluate their mistakes and consider ways to improve their struggle strategies.

Manasra stressed that the key to correcting American attitudes towards the Palestinian issue is not in the hands of the Palestinians alone, but rather in the hands of the Arab countries that have not yet decided to take the necessary steps to change Washington's position and achieve a real shift in its policy towards the Palestinian people and the peoples of the region.


Netanyahu exploits Biden administration’s weakness ahead of US elections


For his part, Dr. Saad Nimr, Professor of Political Science at Birzeit University, said: The current US administration under the leadership of President Joe Biden is going through a state of extreme weakness, which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is aware of and exploiting to postpone ending the war on the Gaza Strip until the US presidential elections approach.

According to Nimr, Netanyahu is betting on former President Donald Trump's victory, believing that his victory will help him maintain his government coalition and continue as prime minister.

Nimr pointed out that Netanyahu is taking advantage of this weakness in the US administration, as he refuses to respond to the Biden administration's demands to pass a ceasefire deal.

Nimr explained that the reasons for this weakness are due to the sensitivity of the political situation within the ruling Democratic Party, as Vice President Kamala Harris avoids direct pressure on Israel, given the importance of the support of the Zionist lobby and Jews for the party. At the same time, the administration faces increasing opposition from Arab voters and young people who are demonstrating against the war on Gaza in the United States, and so Harris is seeking to balance to please voters.


Biden's proposals repeatedly modified


Nimr pointed out that Biden is trying to push for a ceasefire deal, but his political weakness and inability to exert effective pressure on Netanyahu is causing his administration to change the proposed initiatives several times, in an attempt to please the Israeli side.

He said: "Although Hamas has agreed to Biden's proposals for the deal, the US administration continues to amend it in line with what Netanyahu wants, which reflects the state of confusion and weakness in its policy, and that the one who is obstructing the deal is Netanyahu."

Nimer pointed out that "Biden realizes that his political influence will decline after the upcoming presidential elections, which makes him less interested in exerting strong pressure on Netanyahu."

Nimr pointed out that the Democratic Party is currently leading the US administration's policy towards Israel, noting that the situation will not change unless the party makes a decisive decision, whether by pressuring Netanyahu or holding Hamas responsible for the failure of the deal.

Regarding student demonstrations in American universities, Nimr explained that they began to escalate with the beginning of the new academic year, but they do not have the ability to change American policies towards Israel, given the strong strategic relations between the United States and the Israeli occupation state.


Partnership between Washington and Tel Aviv


Writer and political analyst Talal Okal believes that the American hesitation and procrastination in stopping the war on the Gaza Strip reflects the partnership and policy that Washington follows with Tel Aviv, as the United States continues to support Israel without taking serious steps to end the aggression.

Awkal explained that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is escalating his approach to managing the war on the Gaza Strip and rejecting the deal, taking advantage of the Democratic Party's need for the votes of the Jewish community in the United States, which weakens the position of President Joe Biden's administration.

Awkal pointed out that Biden seeks to balance between not angering the "Zionist lobby" on the one hand, and on the other hand, satisfying those who support the Palestinian cause.

All of this, according to Awkal, is pushing Biden to adopt a cautious policy in dealing with events. He added: This American policy is unlikely to change unless there is a radical development in the Arab position.

Awkal believes that if the war expands despite the desire of the Democratic administration, the American position will remain committed to its traditional policies, content with making empty, imaginary promises and propaganda statements to the Palestinians and their allies, without taking practical steps that lead to achieving any tangible changes.


So that Israel does not appear as if it has not achieved its goals


For his part, writer and political analyst Dr. Abdul Majeed Suwailem said: The hesitation and hesitation shown by the US administration regarding the war on the Gaza Strip are linked to the US’s vision of the conflict, and not only due to administrative or political weakness.

According to Suwailem, Washington is avoiding pushing for a ceasefire because that might make it appear as if Israel has not achieved its goals in this war, or that the resistance movements in Gaza have succeeded in thwarting the aggression and destroying its goals.

Suwailem pointed out that the United States does not want to reach a ceasefire unless it can claim that Israel has achieved a serious part of its goals. For this reason, the United States is pressing to include in any future agreement the possibility of returning Israel to war, while maintaining continuous pressure on Hamas.

This strategy, according to Suwailem, is not only due to the weakness of the US administration, but also to Washington’s vision of the conflict and its political and security consequences.

However, Suwailem does not deny that there are weaknesses in the current US administration, especially with the presidential elections approaching.


Youth Problems in the Democratic Party


The most prominent of these challenges, according to Suwailem, include the problems of young people within the Democratic Party, the division of opinion over voting for Vice President Kamala Harris, in addition to the fear of a boycott by Arab voters and the loss of part of the Jewish vote. In this context, Suwailem points to the major campaign led by Donald Trump, who has gone so far as to warn that Harris’s rise to power would mean “the end of Israel,” a “vulgar” use of media and intimidation unprecedented in American politics.

He said: The struggle over the Jewish vote within the United States has reached an unprecedented level, and Trump has exploited this dynamic in his election campaigns. In contrast, the Biden administration suffers from these overlapping challenges, and is trying to mitigate them by focusing on other files, such as the Ukrainian war. However, this endeavor also faces obstacles, as Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to strike Ukrainian infrastructure and respond to Ukrainian attacks, which further complicates the American position.

Suwailem believes that the United States finds itself in a confusing and confusing position, especially with the loss of the India Road project that was planned as a means to confront the Chinese “Silk Road”, and the competition with China is beginning to deeply affect Western economies.


US support for Israel is tied to the deep state


Regarding American support for Israel, Suwailem explained that this is not related to figures like Biden, Harris, or Trump, but rather to the deep state in the United States, which sees more in Israel than many do. Despite Washington’s awareness that Israel’s image has been affected after October 7, it is still keen to maintain Israel’s status as an undefeated state.

Suwailem pointed out that the American hesitation in ending the war on Gaza may change if there is serious Arab and Islamic pressure.

Suwailem expressed his belief that the absence of this pressure is the main reason for the continued American hesitation, stressing that the presence of strong Arab and Islamic pressure will force the United States to adjust its position and emerge from this state of procrastination, which may lead to a change in the course of Arab-American-Israeli relations.


The US administration's hesitation reflects internal weakness


Journalist and political researcher Dr. Mahmoud Al-Froukh said: The hesitation shown by the American administration in dealing with the Israeli war on the Gaza Strip reflects internal weakness and a fixed policy of a country that fundamentally supports Israel.

He pointed out that the administration of US President Joe Biden is suffering from severe weakness, especially since it is in its final days, which has made it unable to take firm positions to stop the war.

Al-Faroukh pointed out that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu succeeded in exploiting this American weakness, and blackmailed the Biden administration since the start of the aggression on October 7, which made it a "formal" administration unable to impose any pressure on Israel to stop the aggression on Gaza.

Al-Faroukh stressed that the current US administration lacks the ability to have actual influence, and is therefore a partner of Israel in its war, as it has provided unprecedented support on all levels, including political, diplomatic, financial and military support.


The great influence of the Zionist lobby


One of the main reasons for this weakness, according to Al-Faroukh, is the great influence of the Zionist lobby within the Biden administration, noting that this administration is the one in which members of the Zionist lobby have held the highest and most sensitive positions, such as Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, whom Al-Faroukh describes as the de facto ruler of the US administration, along with figures such as Amos Hochstein, the US envoy to Lebanon, and other officials in the ministries of finance, health, and homeland security. These influential figures have made the administration fully comply with the orders of the Zionist lobby and the AIPAC organization, turning it into a tool in Netanyahu’s hands.

Al-Froukh pointed out that President Biden, as an elderly person, is characterized by contradictions in his statements, which reinforces the impression that he is merely a front for an administration that does not own its decision, but rather implements an agenda dictated to it by Israel and the Zionist lobby.

Al-Faroukh explained that the Biden administration failed to achieve many of the goals it had set on its agenda, including achieving the two-state solution.


Making a deal with Hamas has become almost impossible


He added that the chances of stopping the aggression on Gaza or pressuring Israel to conclude a deal with Hamas have become almost impossible under the current circumstances.

Al-Faroukh believes that "the opportunity to change this American position was possible at the beginning of the aggression on Gaza if there had been a strong Arab and Islamic position, but the time has passed now."

Looking to the future, Al-Froukh said that change may come with the new US administration, which will be elected in November. Whether the administration is Republican or Democratic, it can be negotiated to adopt new policies towards the Israeli aggression on Gaza, including reopening a political path to resolve the Palestinian issue in a comprehensive and just manner.

Al-Faroukh pointed out that "the new US administration may be more capable and effective in pressuring Israel, whether to sign a deal with Hamas or to stop the aggression once and for all, in addition to its potential role in reviving normalization agreements with Arab countries."

Al-Faroukh believes that “the current war on Gaza will continue in various forms until a new, more powerful and influential American administration takes over, which may push Israel toward negotiation and opening a new page of relations in the Middle East, whether on the Palestinian level or with the Arab countries.”


Not pressuring Netanyahu to make electoral gains


As for Dr. Raed Abu Badawiyya, Professor of International Law and International Relations at the Arab American University, he said: The current failure of the US administration to stop the war on the Gaza Strip or to pressure Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is due to the proximity of the US presidential elections.

Abu Badawiya explained that "the Palestinian issue has become part of the internal conflicts in the United States, with the deepening influence of the Zionist lobbies on American policies. There is also strong support from some religious movements, especially since there is a high percentage of American citizens who are Evangelical Christians, and the majority of them support Israel for religious ideological reasons."

Abu Badawiya pointed to "the changes that the American Democratic Party has witnessed in recent years, where a group of voices emerged within it supporting the Palestinian cause and rejecting support for Israel for years, but it escalated after the war on the Gaza Strip, and this group became an opposition force within the party, and some of its members reached Congress."

However, Abu Badawiya stressed that the Democratic Party still largely supports Israel, and that these opposition voices are still growing.

Regarding the official American position, Abu Badawiya explained that “the administration of President Joe Biden finds itself in a difficult position as the presidential elections approach. It does not want to lose the support of Israel or its supporters within the Democratic Party, which explains the inability to exert real pressure on Netanyahu, despite the clear differences between Washington and Netanyahu’s government regarding the approach it is following, while emphasizing its support for Israel and defending its security.”


Defending Israel is part of America's highest interests.


Abu Badawiya believes that “the motive behind not pressuring Netanyahu is not only the American strategic interests in protecting Israel and its security, but also electoral gains. Defending Israel is part of the highest American interests, but the dispute revolves around the way Netanyahu runs his government.”

He said that the internal circumstances in the United States may not push the Biden administration to use greater pressure tools on Israel, without affecting its electoral interests.

Abu Badawiya pointed out that the US administration usually raises its voice when there are large protests within Israel itself, which reflects a close connection between US political discourse and the protest movement in Israeli society.

Abu Badawi pointed out that the Biden administration may take symbolic steps against Netanyahu's government, but they will be in response to the demands of Israeli protesters, and not with the aim of exerting real pressure on Netanyahu regarding his policies towards the Palestinians.


The United States has effective means of pressure.


Dr. Qusay Hamed, a professor of political science at Al-Quds Open University, believes that “although the continuation of the war on the Gaza Strip is no longer acceptable to large segments of the Democratic Party, the Biden administration does not want to seriously pressure Netanyahu to end the war, for reasons related to President Biden’s personal pro-Israel stance, and to avoid negatively affecting the party’s chances in the upcoming elections and losing influential Jewish votes.”

Hamed said: "The United States is trying to create the impression that there are intensive efforts being made by the American administration to reach an agreement, in order to satisfy a significant segment of American society that wants to end the war."

In the same context, Hamed stressed that "the United States has effective means of pressure to push Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to stop the war on the Gaza Strip, but it prefers not to use these means for precise internal political calculations related to influencing the chances of the Democratic Party and Kamala Harris in confronting Donald Trump in the upcoming elections."

Hamed pointed out that the Biden administration's internal calculations play a major role in restricting his ability to take decisive steps towards Israel, the most important of which are electoral calculations, not to mention that Biden has lost his influence in American political decisions.

Hamed explained that "the United States' unwillingness to freeze financial or military aid to Israel reflects its commitment to supporting and protecting Israel's security."

Hamed pointed out that traditional American policy has been to avoid taking unusual positions against Israel, and that Washington will intervene effectively only if it sees that the continuation of the war threatens its interests in the Middle East.


Changing the American position requires two strong Arab and international positions


Hamed said: "Changing the hesitant American position towards stopping the war on the Gaza Strip requires a strong Arab and international position that pressures Washington to push Israel to stop the war."

He believes that "based on previous calculations, Washington's position is unlikely to change at the present time, while Netanyahu will continue to take advantage of time and bet on Trump's return to the American political scene."

Hamed pointed out that the United States is avoiding presenting new initiatives at this stage, preferring to refrain from any steps that may cause it internal or international political embarrassment, and may not be accepted by either party, and will remain in a state of flux in managing the war file and playing the role of mediator in the negotiations.

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The Gaza War Enters Its 11th Month with No End in Sight.. US Is the Exclusive Agent in Deception and Procrastination