Al-Khatib: The coincidence of the American and Algerian proposals confirms the growing international role in putting an end to the aggression

Jaradat: Biden’s proposal narrows Netanyahu’s chances of continuing the war

Abu Badawiyya: Talking about a deal without American and regional guarantees is just a hoax

Hamed: It is politically wise for Hamas not to reject the proposal if the necessary guarantees are available

US President Joe Biden’s proposal for a plan for a “sustainable ceasefire in Gaza and the release of Israeli detainees,” as well as Algeria’s efforts to present a draft in the Security Council to issue a resolution demanding that Israel stop its attack on Rafah immediately, based on the decision of the International Court of Justice, increase the chances of a possible conclusion. A deal that Hamas and Israel may accept, amid warnings of an Israeli deception.

Writers and analysts, in separate conversations with Al-Quds.com, warn, despite the possibility of concluding a deal, of the presence of an Israeli trick in negotiating sustainable calm, as well as the proposal’s lack of any regional guarantees, which may lead the stages of the agreement to a dead end, as they see. The Algerian project in the Security Council may collide with the American “veto” if the United States sees that it is not in line with its vision to stop the war.

The writer and political analyst Dr. confirms: Ghassan Al-Khatib said that the Algerian project is of great importance, especially in light of the International Criminal Court’s decision to stop the aggression against Rafah, indicating that this issue may witness increasing development and increase pressure on Israel.

He points out that the Algerian project coincided with the proposal of US President Joe Biden, which calls for a ceasefire within an integrated formula that includes stopping the war on the Gaza Strip, including Rafah, and this indicates the growing role of international institutions and states in putting an end to Israeli aggression.

Regarding the Hamas movement’s position on the deal proposal, Al-Khatib says: “The movement issued an official statement in which it expressed a positive position towards President Biden’s speech,” while Al-Khatib points out that Biden’s speech was general, but the real differences relate to the details necessary to conclude the deal.

Al-Khatib confirms that the chances of completing the deal increased after Biden entered the line, but the chances remain equal between acceptance and rejection, pointing out that Biden is seeking to make his initiative a success for electoral reasons, as the continuation of the war may affect his chances in the elections, and he wants to protect Israel from itself.

As for Israel’s position on the deal, Al-Khatib points out that Israel is awaiting the continuation of military control over the Gaza Strip and the arrival of Donald Trump to power, claiming that he is closest to it.

For his part, writer and political analyst Muhammad Jaradat confirms that Netanyahu and the Israeli war “cabinet” are still dealing with determinants that they began since the seventh of last October, in light of the burning fronts.

Jaradat explains that Israeli intransigence made the demand to stop the war a fundamental issue at the global level, especially in light of the resistance’s steadfastness.

He wondered about the ability of Biden and the Israeli opposition to find a solution for Netanyahu’s political future, especially since Biden’s proposal narrows Netanyahu’s chances of continuing the war.

Jaradat explains that the resistance is committed to reaching a priority deal, on the condition that it includes stopping the war, releasing prisoners, returning the displaced, and reconstruction, noting that there are some reservations about Biden’s proposal, but what is being presented may meet the ambitions of the resistance.

Jaradat points out that despite the extreme exhaustion that the Palestinian people are suffering from, the resistance must tend to make a deal under these political circumstances.

Jaradat explains that the resistance achieved many of its goals despite the large loss of lives and buildings, stressing that "we are facing a long-term project of conflict with the occupation, which has become a global issue."

Jaradat asserts that the resistance achieved its goals, while the occupation failed to achieve its goals, as the resistance and the Palestinian people remained steadfast, and the Palestinian issue became the top global priority towards defeating the occupation, after it had been living in a state of absence before the seventh of last October.

In turn, Professor of International Law and International Relations at the Arab American University, Dr. Raed Abu Badawiyah said that the second phase of Biden’s proposal includes defects related to leaving negotiations between Israel and Hamas on the cessation of hostilities without guarantees, which is considered a great risk for Hamas.

Abu Badawiyya points out that the first stage includes the release of Israeli detainees in Gaza, and if Hamas accepts to hand over elderly civilians and female soldiers while keeping the military soldiers, it will lose a major pressure card, because civilians put greater pressure on the Israeli street, while military pressure on the government is less. Many civilians.

According to Abu Badawiyeh, the second phase of Biden’s proposal raises questions about the governance of Gaza and ending Hamas’ control, especially since the negotiation in it is not time-bound, which may allow Israel to manipulate the continuation of the war or stop it, and Israel may set conditions that justify the continuation of the aggression as a result of the failure of the negotiations in this regard. stage.

He points out that there is an Israeli trick in negotiating sustainable calm, as it lacks any regional guarantees, knowing that Israel is talking about a stage in which it does not accept ending its military operations with the continued rule of Hamas, which indicates that it is possible that the negotiations will reach a dead end.

Abu Badawiyya believes that talking about the deal without American and regional guarantees, especially from Turkey, will be just a trick, unless Hamas stipulates amending the terms of the initiative and adding the condition of continuing negotiations with a ceasefire as a basic condition with regional guarantees, then Hamas will be on the right path, stressing that The aggression is not only against Hamas, but also against the Palestinian issue in all its geography and political frameworks, and that any retreat will have repercussions on the Palestinian people.

Regarding the Algerian project, Abu Badawiya confirms that the United States will use its “veto” against it if it sees that it is not in line with its vision to stop the war.

Abu Badawiyeh stresses that the United States will not lift the political cover from Israel, and despite the presence of demonstrations in support of the Palestinian cause, the American majority is still supportive of Israel.

Abu Badawiyeh does not believe that Biden will risk taking an extremist position against Israel, which could lead to him losing a large electoral base of Americans.

In turn, Professor of Political Science at Al-Quds Open University, Dr. Qusay Hamed said that there is cautious optimism regarding Biden’s initiative to stop the war on the Gaza Strip, indicating that Biden is maneuvering on several levels to improve his image, including internally, to re-convince the American voter, especially the youth of the Democratic Party and supporters of the Palestinian cause, about electing him in the American elections, including on the At the level of Arab and regional countries, to restore life to lure a number of Arab countries to sign normalization agreements with Israel, especially Saudi Arabia.

According to Hamed, Biden finds that the continuation of the war has displaced American efforts from focusing on files of strategic importance to it. Such as the Chinese, Russian, and Iranian files, and they increase unwanted tensions in the Middle East.

Hamed confirms that the success of passing Biden’s proposal depends on two things: the first is the Israeli right allied with the Netanyahu government, which threatens to withdraw if the war stops, and the second is the Israeli opposition, which is pushing towards concluding a deal.

Hamed clarifies that there is a possibility for Netanyahu to approve the agreement and deal, but with the condition that an explicit clause is not included obliging Israel to stop the war in Gaza, while Hamed points out that the stages proposed by Biden are ambiguous, as the first and second stages indicate the withdrawal of the Israeli occupation forces from inside Gaza in a few minutes. Hundreds of meters and not a complete withdrawal, while the door to negotiation remains open in the third and fourth stages without talking about Israel’s complete withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.

He believes that Netanyahu's rejection of the deal will put him in the face of Israeli society and the opposition, and could escalate their protests, while at the same time bringing the war council closer to disintegration, thus placing him hostage to the pressures of the Israeli right.

Hamed points out that all of this comes at a time when resentment is mounting within the Israeli army over the continuation of the war without defining its objectives, or having a clear plan for the next day of the war in the Gaza Strip.

He confirms that the proposed deal meets the minimum reasonable demands of Hamas, with the exception of the ambiguous third and fourth stages. However, Hamas will adhere to its demand for international guarantees to oblige Israel to stop the war and complete withdrawal from Gaza, the liberation of prisoners from occupation prisons, the return of the displaced, and reconstruction.

In a related context, Hamed points out that it is politically wise for Hamas not to reject Biden’s proposal, if the necessary guarantees are available, which will relieve Hamas of responsibility for the failure to reach an agreement, and will increase the pressure on Netanyahu even more.

Regarding the Algerian proposal in the Security Council, Hamed believes that the United States of America will try to avoid using the “veto” by pushing towards reaching a deal, but if it is put to the test, it will use it to protect Israel and not abandon it politically, but questions remain as to how the United States will justify its opposition. There is a consensus in demands to stop the genocide in the Gaza Strip.