OPINIONS
Wed 25 Oct 2023 9:43 am - Jerusalem Time
What is happening and what will happen during and after the war
The October 7th operation was called the Al-Aqsa Flood, and when Israel formulated its response, it called it the Iron Swords.
With the first aerial bombardment of Gaza, the facts went beyond the two labels, to give rise to more realistic labels, such as the war of revenge, the war of displacement, the war to liquidate Hamas, the war to liquidate the Palestinian cause, and standing on the brink of a regional war that might lead to a global war.
A war whose titles were many and whose extensions were wide-ranging, until it became the most important in the world, including the Ukraine war, which no one mentions anymore.
In the midst of this war with multiple titles and even objectives, focus is being placed on its operational course, and the central question is: Will Israel invade Gaza by land? This calls for another central question: If you do that, will things develop into a regional war?
According to the deteriorating morale in Israel, ground war seems to be one of the remedies offered to restore it, especially since the urgent mobilization since the start of the aerial bombardment has reached the point of being inevitable. However, what has seemed clear, at least so far, is that although it was easy to make a decision to do so, it is difficult to implement it, and there are many reasons for this, perhaps the most important of which is... the American reservation about it, which produced a sharp disagreement within the Israeli decision-making institutions, and in this case the American influence is doubled, whose level had already risen through the administration’s incursion into its institutions to the point of participation, and from the position of supreme master in the main decision-making process.
This participation has prevented the military establishment from initiating a pre-emptive war against Hezbollah, and it is working hard to prevent the war from expanding beyond its current level: a destructive war on Gaza under the title of destroying Hamas, and controlled clashes with Hezbollah, and America has sought help for that. With heavy reserve work, such as sending an aircraft carrier to the vicinity of the current and potential war, sending forces and equipment, and providing additional funds, the priority of all of this is to prevent the spillover into a regional war that does not suit America, which has drawn its strategic policies in different directions, not including the war in the Middle East.
No matter how different the headlines were and whether the declared or hidden goals developed, what emerged automatically from this war was the progress of the status of the Palestinian issue from neglected to being under discussion, the return of the political solution to the Palestinian issue to a broader scope and more important levels, and the removal of the thick dust that had enveloped the two-state solution and turned it into a mere slogan. Dying, the world repeats it without making any effort to work towards it.
On the sidelines of the raging war on Gaza, and its permanent side, albeit at a lesser pace in the West Bank, new facts have emerged, the most important of which is the crystallization of a unified Arab position, which was demonstrated at the Cairo International Summit, based on pushing for an end to the war on Gaza, the results of which are not expected to be immediate, and the provision of effective support to its people through The United Nations, establishing a truce, then opening the political path to resolve the Palestinian issue in a “fairer and more effective” manner. This is taking shape, and it has appeared that it has many supporters and opponents as well. It will put the ball back in the Arab court after the internal and inter-state conflicts pushed it away from its natural place, when everyone was embracing the principle that the Palestinian issue is the central issue of the nation.
The war on Gaza and its possibilities will not affect the existing status of the Palestinian cause, with more than fifteen million Palestinians embracing it, and providing it with continuity of life and influence... and they are not isolated from a huge public depth, Arab and international, and this was clearly demonstrated in the powerful demonstrations that swept the capitals of the world. These demonstrations reinforced among the neutral, hesitant, and spontaneous supporters of Israel the fact that without a political solution to the Palestinian issue after stopping the brutal, destructive war on Gaza, there will be no security and stability in the Middle East, and the world will not escape the storm of recurring wars and their direct security and economic impact. Politically and morally.
The pain is deep and severe as we have lost thousands in Gaza in bulk, and thousands in the West Bank in installments. However, this pain should not result in wailing and tears, but rather a Palestinian effort befitting the great development that has occurred since October 7 of this year.
What should Palestinians do during and after this war? This will be the topic of the second part of this article.
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What is happening and what will happen during and after the war