For the first time in decades, the threat of war between Israel and the Palestinians has become a candidate for spreading to neighboring countries, and the outbreak of a large-scale war in the Middle East has become an issue that is not excluded, in light of the national security of many Arab countries being exposed to danger as a result of the current crisis. In fact, there are battles that have already occurred, albeit in a small way. Limited in some neighboring countries.

This comes in light of Israeli talk, sometimes explicit and sometimes implicit, about Tel Aviv’s intention to occupy Gaza and force its people to forcibly leave to Egypt, while it seems that it has received a Western green light in the war. It also seemed that for a period of time there was Western acceptance of the idea of deporting civilians to Sinai under the pretext of protecting them.

The war has already spread to some neighboring countries

The war between Israel and Hamas has already spread to neighboring countries in the form of street protests and even cross-border strikes, according to a report by the American website Axios.

Israel's neighboring countries fear the possibility of internal unrest and the influx of large numbers of refugees as the conflict worsens. At the same time, Israel fears the possibility of opening a second front on the border with Lebanon.

Each of the neighboring countries has already been drawn into this conflict in one way or another.

Lebanon.. Hezbollah has its hand on the trigger, and says it will not allow the Palestinian resistance to be eliminated

If a second front opens in the war between Israel and Hamas, it will most likely be on the border between Israel and Lebanon.

Daily skirmishes occur along the border, with Iranian-backed Hezbollah fighters in Lebanon launching dozens of rockets, and the Israeli army launching strikes. At least three Lebanese citizens and an Israeli citizen were killed, along with a number of Israeli soldiers and Hezbollah militants.

Hezbollah has pledged to support Hamas, which has much greater military capabilities than Hamas, and the White House is discussing the use of military force if Hezbollah joins the fighting in Gaza.

Hezbollah views the war between Israel and Hamas from a broader perspective, and considers that the defeat of the resistance in Gaza may mean that Israel seeks to eliminate it and the rest of Iran’s allies in the region.

Accordingly, Lebanon has become, in one way or another, at the heart of the escalation that the region is witnessing as a result of Operation Al-Aqsa Flood, even if it is not a direct and open military war, and the opening and igniting of fronts from Lebanon and Syria, but in the political and strategic sense it is a battle in the context of integrating the path of unity of the fronts that he spoke about in a way Hezbollah officials and Iranian leaders elaborated.

In the broader picture, Hezbollah may find in what is happening a golden opportunity, which cannot be allowed to be wasted within a clear framework, which is to prove the seriousness and strength of the “unity of the squares” project, and even if the internal price in Lebanon is large and unexpected, considering what is happening as a historical moment, not interacting with it. It will lead to multiple losses. Also, active participation in this war will lead to the imposition of conditions and concessions from Israel that no one has been able to obtain before, especially since from Hezbollah’s point of view, Israel is at the worst stage in its history since 1948, meaning that Israel is forced to make concessions in the end. According to a report by Al Jazeera.

In addition to the clashes between Hezbollah and Israel, large pro-Palestinian demonstrations were held in Beirut, including a demonstration on the evening of Wednesday, October 18, in front of the US Embassy, which Lebanese security forces used tear gas and water cannons to disperse.

Egypt.. Sisi warns of the danger of war with Israel

Egypt has long played the role of mediator between Israelis and Palestinians, shares a border with Gaza and was the first Arab country to recognize the State of Israel.

Israeli forces struck the Rafah crossing between Egypt and Gaza – the only crossing point for civilians into Gaza – in the days following the Hamas attack on October 7.

This week, President Biden succeeded in pressuring Egypt and Israel to agree to allow humanitarian aid into Gaza through the crossing. First aid trucks began crossing into Gaza on Saturday, October 21.

A massive demonstration at Al-Zahr Mosque in solidarity with Palestine / Anatolia

Egypt refuses to open the fortified borders to allow refugees to leave. President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi also said that he fears the entry of armed men among civilians, and Egypt and the Palestinians alike fear that Israel will exploit the crisis to force the residents of Gaza to leave in preparation for the liquidation of the Palestinian cause.

The Egyptian President stressed that the idea of displacing Palestinians to Sinai means dragging Egypt into a war against Israel, during a joint press conference with German Chancellor Olaf Schulz.

Al-Sisi explained that “transferring Palestinian citizens from the Gaza Strip to Sinai means transferring the idea of resistance and fighting from Gaza to Sinai,” noting that the Egyptian peninsula “will therefore become a base for launching terrorist operations against Israel, which has the right to defend itself,” as he put it.

Jordan considers the expulsion of refugees a declaration of war

Jordan - which already has a large Palestinian population - says it will not allow more refugees.

Like Egypt, Jordan fears that a large influx of Palestinians will undermine the demand for a Palestinian state, an issue to which Jordan and most of its population are committed.

Jordan also fears that if Israel's alleged plans to displace the Palestinians of Gaza to Egypt succeed, they will soon be implemented in the West Bank, which Israel aspires to annex to its fertile lands.

Jordanian Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriate Affairs, Ayman Safadi, said last Tuesday that any attempt to displace Palestinians means war for Jordan.

Al-Safadi added, in media statements, that a new catastrophe and setback will not be allowed, and the crisis will not be allowed to spread to neighboring countries.

Jordanian King Abdullah II also warned against any steps that seek to push the residents of the Gaza Strip toward forced displacement within the Palestinian territories or to neighboring countries, considering that this matter is unacceptable and is considered a red line for Jordan.

Pro-Palestinian protests have erupted in front of the Israeli embassy in Amman since the start of the war, especially after the explosion in the Baptist Hospital in Gaza.

Jordan's monarch, King Abdullah, quickly condemned Israel for striking the hospital, and canceled a scheduled four-way summit with Biden, Sisi and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas. The United States claims that Israel is not responsible for this explosion.

Syria...a potential arena for fighting between Israel, America, and Iran's allies

Syria fired artillery into Israeli territory, and Israel responded with fire a few days after the Hamas attack.

According to Syria, Israel bombed the Syrian airports in Damascus and Aleppo shortly after the outbreak of the conflict, and they were put out of service. Reuters reported that the aim of these strikes was to disrupt the flow of Iranian supplies and weapons to Syria.

Meanwhile, a US military base in Syria was attacked by a drone on Thursday, October 19, US officials told the Associated Press, without naming the attacker. American forces were targeted in similar attacks in Iraq, indicating the possibility of escalation in the region.

Iraq...a base for possible confrontation with the Americans

A military base in western Iraq, which includes American forces, was attacked by at least one drone, according to an Iraqi security source and another military source, without recording casualties or damage, as the war between Israel and Hamas continues.

The attack came as Iraqi factions loyal to Iran threatened US interests in Iraq against the backdrop of Washington's support for Israel in the war with Hamas, in a confrontation that has so far resulted in thousands of deaths.

The "Islamic Resistance in Iraq", via Telegram channels affiliated with Shiite factions loyal to Iran, claimed responsibility for a drone attack on the Ain al-Assad base on Saturday afternoon. But the Pentagon reported that it was not aware of any such attack.

Iraqi factions loyal to Iran had accused Israel and the United States of committing a “massacre” in Gaza, including the Hezbollah Brigades - one of the most prominent factions of the Popular Mobilization Forces - which stressed in a statement the necessity of “these evil people leaving the country,” in reference to the Americans, and threatened them if They did not do this because “they will taste the fire of hell in this world before the afterlife.”

The Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces are considered Tehran’s largest agents in the region in terms of numbers, with some estimates of the number of its forces reaching one hundred thousand fighters. It can attack American targets in Iraq, and it can also operate from an already destroyed Syria against Israel, especially since Bashar al-Assad’s authority in the country is limited. Russia, which shares control over Syria with Iran, is also concerned with the escalation. To retaliate for US support for Ukraine.

Two sources close to the Iraqi groups loyal to Iran told the Persian-language Radio Farda, “A meeting was held in Baghdad on October 8, after Hamas’ attack on Israel, and this meeting was attended by Iranian officials and the heads of some Iraqi groups supported by Tehran.”

According to the information, at the meeting, Iranian officials called for the establishment of a center to register volunteers for the war against Israel, and asked the Iraqi armed groups to prepare, but they stressed the need to be careful not to take any action “until the order is given.”

The entry of Iran's allies into the battle may lead to American intervention against them or even Iran, which may spark a wide regional war that may also include the Houthis. Russia may even support Iran to spite America.

Yemen.. The Houthis are able to cause a problem for the Americans and Israelis in the Red Sea

Iran-backed Houthi fighters in Yemen appear to have joined the conflict between Israel and Hamas with the Pentagon announcing that the US Navy destroyer USS Carney in the Red Sea was able to intercept and shoot down a number of cruise missiles and drones that may have been heading towards Israel on Thursday.

Although the Houthis are very far away to be influential in the conflict, at the same time, Yemen's strategic location at the entrance to the Red Sea enables them to target American and Israeli ships or even disrupt global navigation, especially since they are holed up in the rugged mountains of Yemen, and targeting them is a difficult issue, as was evident from the campaign. The long military campaign carried out by Saudi and Emirati military aviation for years in the country.