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PALESTINE

Sun 22 Oct 2023 12:47 pm - Jerusalem Time

Axios discloses the Inside Biden's Gaza strategy

An analysis published on Axios focused on President Biden's dual-track approach to the Gaza crisis - with Biden standing firmly alongside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in public while trying to stymie him in private.

According to Axios, the big picture is that the United States supports Israel but does not want to be drawn into another large or long-term military operation in the Middle East. Dealing with this needle is the biggest challenge facing the Biden administration at the present time.

Zooming out: Biden set the tone for the American response in his speech on October 10, when he compared Hamas to ISIS.


Axios added that the speech was broadcast during prime time in Israel, and was one of the most watched television events in Israel's history.

According to Axios, former US Ambassador to Israel Tom Nides told Axios that the matter was well received among Israeli political leaders and the Israeli public, which gave Biden credibility at the beginning of the crisis.

“If you love Biden or hate Biden, you can't complain about his commitment to Israel,” Nides said.

ِAxios added that Biden used this credibility carefully. He and Netanyahu have a fraught history, but during their calls — which happen nearly every day — Biden avoided direct pressure on the prime minister, according to US officials. Instead, ask questions, which is a gentler way to raise the same concerns.

The Latest: About 20 trucks loaded with humanitarian aid crossed into Gaza today after Biden successfully lobbied Egypt and Israel to agree to allow aid in during his visit to Israel.

Axios emphasized that one of Biden's main goals is to prevent the conflict in Gaza from turning into a regional war. Sending aircraft carriers to the region is part of this effort, as are the messages the United States has sent to Iran and Hezbollah — both publicly and secretly.

Axios emphasized that US officials said that Biden asked Netanyahu several times about his plans to avoid escalation that would push Hezbollah into war.

Biden said he asked Netanyahu and other Israeli officials about alternatives to a ground invasion of Gaza and whether they had a plan for what to do in Gaza after the dismantling of Hamas.

They told him they didn't have one yet.


Axios reported that an American official told said that Biden tried, from a position of love and friendship, to tell the Israelis: “Think in the long term and do not make the same mistakes we made after September 11.”


Axios continued, regarding the current situation: Biden took this strategy to the next level with his trip to Israel. The visit was an unprecedented show of support on the ground in a time of war — and gave Biden a chance to reach out privately to the Israelis to get them to take the steps the United States wanted.


Israeli and American officials said that Biden and Secretary of State Anthony Blinken told the Israelis that it was in Israel's interest to allow humanitarian aid into Gaza. They said doing so would help maintain international support for the Israeli operation against Hamas.

The Israelis agreed. A senior Israeli official told Axios that after supporting Biden, in word and deed, they were unable to refuse.

Behind the scenes: Biden himself is the driving force behind much of this strategy, say people familiar with the process.


His Oct. 10 speech “was all Joe Biden,” according to a source familiar with the speech-writing process, who said Biden shot down his aides’ attempts to soften the language or balance the messaging.

Biden told reporters aboard Air Force One that many people on the president's team did not want him to go to Israel, but he decided to do so.


Between the lines: Biden is dusting off the same playbook he used to broker an 11-day ceasefire during the May 2021 Gaza war, two US officials said.

But this time the public-private sector strategy will take more time to implement. Biden's senior advisers know there will be no ceasefire anytime soon. And they don't pay for one. The direct goal is to influence Israel's movements on the ground.


What's next: Biden will not be able to stop the war, but he will likely continue to use his popularity and credibility among Israelis to influence its course.


"There's a reason there are posters of Joe Biden all over Israel," Axios concluded. "Biden has managed to take the moral high ground when it comes to the Israeli people and the Jewish community in the United States, and he will use them as he sees fit." As Nides said.

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Axios discloses the Inside Biden's Gaza strategy

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