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OPINIONS

Mon 09 Oct 2023 9:41 am - Jerusalem Time

From the October 1973 earthquake to the October 2023 earthquake. A quick read of the expected scenarios

Half a century after the surprise attack carried out by the Egyptian and Syrian armies in Sinai and the Golan on October 6, 1973, which entered history as the October Arab-Israeli War or the October War, which almost liberated all the Arab lands that Israel occupied in the June 5, 1967 war, Had it not been for aborting the results of that war, which was supposed to be liberating as the late President Gamal Abdel Nasser wanted, there would have been a sudden Palestinian ground and missile attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, under the name “Al-Aqsa deluge.”


I can quickly say that whoever chose this time, which coincides with the 50th anniversary of the October Arab-Israeli War, wanted to convey a message that what is happening is a continuation of that war, which some people have emptied of its content and turned it into an "incitation war" that led to the Camp David, Oslo, Wadi Araba and what followed agreements. 


In short, it may be too early to talk about accurate predictions, as the operation is continuing and there is talk of dozens of dead and captured Israelis, but what we can say is that we are facing a major event that may lead, at its minimum, to clearing Israeli prisons of Palestinian prisoners, and at its highest, to the outbreak of a major war throughout the region.


But if that war breaks out, the question that arises is: Will there be room to form an investigation committee into the causes of the Israeli shortcomings in today’s battle, similar to the “Agranat” committee that was formed in Israel in the wake of the October 1973 war to investigate the causes of the Israeli shortcomings in that war? Or will it be too late?!

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From the October 1973 earthquake to the October 2023 earthquake. A quick read of the expected scenarios