Soft stomachs in the Arab world .. Sudan as a model

It is not a surprise or an exceptional case of emergency, what is happening in Sudan in terms of fighting between two parties, each of which wants to erase the other and monopolize power. Management, sluggishness and poverty that lead to political setbacks, incidents of rebellion and institutional collapse. Sudan alone experienced 15 political coups from 1950 to 2022, of which only five succeeded.

This is what happens when the country and its resources and capabilities are dealt with as a private institution for the ruling class, everything becomes permissible with money, influence and weapons, where adults prevail while young people are bribed and the citizen is crushed, and there is no law above the law of personal interest and force.

The flaccid belly is a center of weakness that cannot be stable, as it is a playground available for external intrusions and accommodates players with many contradictory interests that feed the chances of internal fighting, just as it cannot remain separate from the rest of the neighboring entities, but rather affects / like dominoes / negatively on its neighbors and their national security and stability as a result of crises. Which are exported by virtue of geographical proximity, such as refugees, terrorism and trade shocks. Many countries in the Arab world are soft stomachs - albeit to varying degrees - such as Sudan, Yemen, Iraq, Libya, Syria and Lebanon. They have been subjected to external penetration and internal tampering, and their internal crisis had spillover effects on its neighbors and beyond.

Over the past years, due to this legacy of coups and political and economic instability, Sudan, a country rich in its vast resources and strategic location, was a strong candidate for multiple regional and international players. For example: Iran was coveting a strategic leap in Sudan to increase its influence in West and Central Africa and control gas reserves. oil, and uranium. Likewise, China, which was able to bridge the gap of American disinterest in the brown continent, transcend the limits of political caveats emanating from the nature of the ruling establishment, create significant influence in the country, and maintain friendly relations with Khartoum and great economic interests through investments in the oil and mineral sectors there. Russia also looked closely at the Sudanese strategic depth, thanks to its location bordering the Red Sea, adjacent to seven African countries, and its huge gold reserves, which take a direct route to Russia through Russian mining companies, Wagner mercenaries, and a possible Russian military base on the shores of the Red Sea in Sudan. Israel has never been far from trying to penetrate Sudan for various security, intelligence and economic reasons, until it was ordered to hasten a rapid normalization or barter in the more correct sense in 2020. By the way, Israel has good relations with both sides of the existing conflict. Relations with the regular army led by Al-Burhan follow the official Israeli institution, and relations with Hamidti (the Rapid Support Forces) is handled by the Mossad!

The scenes of the international evacuation of employees, communities and diplomats suggest that the world will not intervene soon and that the war is long, and the spectacle is free until both sides exhaust their forces, or the strongest emerges, or the upcoming plans become clear. The United States is still not interested, Russia is currently busy, and the influential Arab countries in Sudan have inconsistent interests. Some of them support the regular army, and some of them support the so-called Rapid Support militia. It is true that the current conflict in Sudan is between those who were comrades-in-arms against the rebel groups in Darfur. They became rivals fighting over influence, but the larger scene suggests that it is logical for it to develop into an international conflict by proxy.

I was amazed at 22 Arab countries observing the situation in Sudan and Israel offering an initiative to agree and receive the two warring generals.!

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