Is there a third Palestinian intifada?

Historically, revolutions, uprisings, and mass uprisings are characteristic of the history of the Palestinian people, starting with the attempts of the Zionist movement to occupy Palestine with the support of the British Mandate Authority in the 1920s, and the characteristic continues today to end the occupation despite the agreements signed with Israel. Possibilities and warnings increase from a third intifada that will not be the same as its predecessors. Rather, its repercussions may extend to the entire region, and create a state of restoring the Arab popular dimension in support of the Palestinian cause. The possibilities of this uprising increase with the success of Netanyahu and his party in the last fifth elections and the formation of the most right-wing, extremist and extremist Israeli government in the history of Israel, as it is a government that includes the religious Zionist force and the Haredi parties, and the leaders of the extreme right assume for the first time ministries that control settlement and finance. All indicators point in the direction of this uprising, and perhaps it is useful to recall first the first uprising in 1987, which resulted in the Oslo Accords. And the second intifada in September 2000 in the aftermath of Sharon and his soldiers storming the courtyards of Al-Aqsa, and the failure of the tripartite Camp David meetings between President Arafat and Barak under the auspices of US President Clinton. Perhaps its direct cause is the political impasse and the failure of the Oslo Accords to achieve their goal of establishing a Palestinian state. And increasing the pace of settlement, and we do not go far if we say that the price was the life of the president himself through a comprehensive military attack and the siege of the province. The question again here is whether this scenario will be repeated today with greater indications of the outbreak of the Intifada. The question is also what in the event of the outbreak of a third intifada, i.e. the scenarios, repercussions and results? Starting with what are the most prominent and reasons for the outbreak of this uprising, as we indicated the formation of the first Israeli government with a fascist leadership that believes in settlement, incitement and hatred against the Arabs and calls for the storming of Al-Aqsa and the legalization of all settlements and the rejection of any presence of any Palestinian state, but rather believes in the alternative homeland in Jordan. In addition, it is not possible to ignore the long period of time and its accumulations since the second intifada in terms of settlement, Judaization, confiscation of Palestinian lands, mismanagement at the level of the Palestinian performance of the authority, and the attempt to link the authority and security coordination. This is aided by the closeness and cohesion between the Palestinian people and the military presence of the Israeli army and settlers. What drives the intifada is the difficult economic and living conditions, the high rates of unemployment and poverty, and the inability of the Palestinian Authority to meet the basic needs of the citizens. The other side of the political division between Fatah and Hamas cannot be ignored, motivated by activity in the West Bank, as in Jenin, the military presence of the Qassam movement, the Jihad movement, and the emergence of the Lions' Den movement. And the increase in the number of martyrs every day. These indicators cannot be ignored and skipped over, as a basic feature of the Palestinian personality is the rejection of the occupation, which will remain the main reason for the outbreak of the third intifada.

What confirms going towards this scenario are the statements and analyzes that come out of Israel itself and warn of the deterioration of the situation in the West Bank. Major General Reserve Tamir Heyman, the former head of Israeli military intelligence, warned that there are clear indications of the outbreak of a third Palestinian intifada, and that the Palestinian arena is getting more heated than he imagined. The majority of the public. As the responsible for Palestinian affairs in the Israel Hayom newspaper says, the armed arrest campaigns that were in the past are no longer so today, as things have become complicated and many of the arrests in the north of the West Bank have become more dangerous, and the resistance fighters have been described as new wanted persons who have become more dangerous because they are armed. And it is difficult to break them. As for Avi Zakharov, an analyst of Palestinian affairs in Yedioth Ahronoth, he says that the occupation army has begun to clash with another type of resistance, who are distinguished by being more daring, seeking confrontation, and refusing to surrender. He described them as the third generation, not interested in exposing their personalities on communication platforms, and how the personality of Ibrahim Al-Nabulsi became an icon for everyone. And the spread of operations from Jenin to Nablus and Silwad, Bramallah, may get out of control and lead to major operations. It indicates the weakness of the authority and the truth, as it says the authority's unwillingness in direct confrontation.

In conclusion, the third intifada has its precursors and constituents, and no one is talking about excluding this option, and the question remains about the form and scenarios of this intifada and its possible repercussions and results. .
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