Are we facing a Lebanese-Israeli naval Oslo, or a devastating regional war?!

Written by: Muhammad Al-Nubani

I firmly believe that Israel would not have ventured to rent a huge British ship specialized in extracting oil and gas from the depths of the sea and bring it to the disputed Karish marine area between Lebanon and the Israeli entity in order to start its work in extracting oil and gas from the aforementioned field if it did not have assurances that reach the level of certainty , by its allies in Lebanon that this ship will not be exposed to any harm from Hezbollah specifically.

This party participating in the Lebanese government and allied with Lebanese President Michel Aoun and his party, the Free Patriotic Movement, which is currently headed by Gebran Bassil, has repeatedly declared that the decision of war and peace in Lebanon is in the hands of the Lebanese state and not in his hand.

This was reaffirmed by Deputy Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Sheikh Naim Qassem, in his exclusive interview with Reuters on Monday, specifically when he said that his party would not use force to deter Israel because of what is happening in Karish unless the Lebanese government declares that what is happening is an Israeli attack on Lebanon's oil and gas rights in the sea.

It goes without saying that Aoun, who did not even dare to sign Decree 6422 regarding the amendment of the navy, and Najib Mikati, who obeys Saudi orders, will not dare to say that, because resorting to resistance as an option to restore rights is not included in their dictionary and contradicts their interests.

The choice of Aoun and Mikati is negotiations on the rule laid down by Anwar Sadat, according to which 99% of the solution cards are in the hands of America.

Therefore, Aoun and Miqati asked the American envoy for negotiations to demarcate the maritime borders between Lebanon and Israel, Amos Hochstein, who, by the way, is an American Jew born in Tel Aviv and served in the Israeli army and holds both American and Israeli citizenships, to come to Beirut to initiate indirect negotiations with Israel regarding the Karish field and demarcation. Maritime borders between Lebanon and the Israeli entity.

Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz immediately agreed with this call, who made press statements on Monday confirming that the dispute with Lebanon over gas will be resolved through diplomatic means and with American mediation.

In order not to get bogged down in the details, the concrete analysis of the tangible reality and the benefit from the Palestinian-Israeli negotiation experience, in particular, know that whoever bets on American mediation to resolve a dispute with Israel over an issue is necessarily a loser.

America is the main enemy of all the Arab and Islamic peoples and all peoples yearning for liberation from the domination of capitalist brutality, and it is a partner with Israel in all the crimes it commits against the Palestinian people.

Any talk of an honest American mediator when it comes to Israel is nonsense and a fantasy, even if this mediator is not a Zionist-Israeli who holds American citizenship like Amos Forkstein, who served in the Israeli army and considers Israel's security at the forefront of his priorities.

Accordingly, if the Lebanese resistance does not enter the line and deter Israel at sea, as it is deterred on land, then Lebanon, whose people suffer from poverty, deprivation and hardship, will remain a failed state forever and ever, and with time it will join the ranks of the normalizers with Israel.

It remains to say that Israel's medic to speed up the theft of Lebanese oil and gas is done in coordination with the Biden administration, which has an interest in exporting the gas extracted from the "Karish" field to Europe as an alternative to Russian gas and to hit the Russian economy.

Will the Lebanese resistance allow this satanic project to see the light?!

This is what the coming hours, days and weeks will answer.