We will not put pressure on Netanyahu.. So do not count on us: managing the "two-state solution" with words

Written by: Dr. Crimean Amani

There are absolutely no indications that the Biden administration intends to put pressure on Israel with regard to urgent Palestinian issues.. On the contrary, it is clear that it decided to deal with the hard-line coalition in Israel comfortably, where Benjamin Netanyahu is the main address for consultations with him in the United States. It all starts and ends with Bibi.

It's okay to give him space and opportunity instead of pressuring him, and there's no need for overt disagreements or collision courses. That's how they think in Washington. All matters can be resolved calmly and carefully personally. The Americans believe that they have influence with Netanyahu on two issues: The first is his strong desire to complete his “historic” achievements through normalization with Saudi Arabia. And no matter how Israel is the entry door to the White House, the Biden administration believes that the White House is the entry door to Saudi Arabia. The second is Iran: Netanyahu needs American support for his ongoing operations deep inside Iran to undermine the regime there. But the most important thing is based on their convictions and years of experience with Netanyahu's rule, which says that pressure on him is of no use and does not fall on deaf ears, and therefore the issue of a clash with him is out of the question at all. The situation is more boiling in the West Bank, and at the same time I also doubt that the Israeli government will follow the meager American recommendations. This is what was revealed by a series of high-level US visits recently, which concluded with the tour of Secretary of State Anthony Blinken.

It was expected that the Biden years in power would be very traditional with regard to the Palestinian issue specifically, in the sense of a return to the borders of American politics before Trump... But with the progress of time, it seems that it has retreated from traditionalism to become empty and boring. Even the administration figures themselves act slowly like a robot... They move with exaggerated caution and caution... They repeat the same words... The easiest and safest solution, in their view, is to bury one's head in the sand, turn a blind eye to Israel's aggressions, and talk... talk... without explaining how or when. ?

It is not expected that we will get something of political and strategic significance from the Biden administration, because it chose not to put pressure on Netanyahu, due to three main reasons:

1. President Biden's experiences, culture, and firm convictions play the biggest role in this field. Although he is classified as a centrist democrat and may have preferred cooperation with the centrist elite in Israel, his commitment to Israel's security and to the Israeli narrative is a firm belief, which he is infatuated with. Even his method of resolving the differences between them is not public, but is done behind the scenes and quietly.

2. The Biden administration knows that any confrontation with Israel could be through the weapon of conditional aid, which requires time and effort that it is indispensable and outside its current interests that focus on the repercussions of the Russian-American war, the movement of financial markets, and the far moves in East Asia.

3. The last thing Biden wants, in his third year and the country on the verge of election campaigns, is to enter into disputes over Israel between a Republican party that strongly supports it and a Democratic party in which the majority supports it and a progressive minority that pushes to hold it accountable, in addition to confronting AIPAC and evangelical Christians.

In general, the hard-right tsunami in the Israeli government will not be interested in any American pressures / if any / but will be more brazen and daring in challenges and aggressions.