Trump and his coups... all this chaos!

It is the chaos that is striking the structure of political decision-making in the most powerful country in the world.

Like any underdeveloped country, it issues fateful decisions completely randomly, without prior consideration of their potential repercussions. The tariff decisions constituted a complete reversal of the rules and foundations of global trade.

For an entire week, US President Donald Trump, with or without occasion, has affirmed his commitment to the global trade war, which he declared in a euphoric tone from the White House lawn under the title "Liberation Day." His decisions have confounded the entire world, and concerns have transcended the financial and economic to the political and strategic.

The Middle East, with its escalating crises, appears to be at the heart of the economic hurricane, reflecting interactions and fears.

He exhausted his capacity for stubbornness faster than anyone expected. He couldn't bear the political pain for more than a week, CNN reported. The US economy was on the verge of catastrophe as the sell-off in the Treasury market accelerated.

He was forced to back down from his quasi-divine decisions to impose unprecedented customs duties on friends and foes alike! He announced the suspension of his chaotic decisions for (90) days, with the exception of China, the second economic power, raising customs duties on it to (145%).

China responded by imposing 84% tariffs on American goods.

In reference to Trump's "Make America Great Again" slogan, his hat was made in China! The United States will find it difficult to win its trade war with China without the support of its traditional allies in Europe and Asia, whose trust it has lost in the tariff crisis. One way or another, US-Chinese negotiations will take place to reach a deal, but Washington will enter them from a position of weakness.

Trump's retreat appeared to be a forced counter-coup to the coup he called "Liberation Day."

In the period between the two coups, new changes occurred in his political discourse. After the first coup, he tended toward a de-escalation on the Gaza and Iran issues, without retreating from his core objectives. What could change after his counter-coup?

First, he announced the start of direct negotiations with Iran from within the White House, in the presence of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who appeared completely shocked. In a counter-coup, he attempted to combine intimidation and enticement, the carrot and the stick, to soften Iranian hardline stance and achieve his goals through the language of deals, without the need for a war that would harm American financial interests in the Gulf region or his project to inject trillions of dollars into the investment pipeline inside the United States.

He chose his special envoy, Steve Witkoff, to head the US negotiating delegation, not the Secretary of State or the National Security Advisor. Ironically, the Iranians chose Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to head their negotiating delegation. Witkoff has no connection to the entire nuclear file, while Araghchi has full and long-standing knowledge of its most minute details.

The world's foremost superpower seemed like any other third-world country, with institutions absent and presidencies sacred. Ironically, the White House described Trump's retreat from the tariff crisis as "genius leadership."

The mutual rhetorical escalation appeared to be a form of negotiation. A deal is possible if it is limited to the Iranian nuclear project, but its nature, limits, and the extent of its impact on regional dynamics are another matter.

Trump's threat to launch military action against Iran seemed striking, suggesting it would be carried out in partnership with Israel. This gesture was a reversal of the "humiliating" way in which Netanyahu was treated in the White House. He may have been seeking to restore Netanyahu's reputation without altering his primary approach to striking a deal with Iran.

It is also confirmed that another deal is being prepared to end the war in Gaza, based on what was dictated to Netanyahu in Washington via Witkoff during a meeting that included them.

Why is Trump now imposing a ceasefire on the Israelis? Certainly not for humanitarian reasons, nor out of embarrassment at the scenes of killing and starvation, unparalleled in modern human history. He is seeking a temporary calm before his visit to the Gulf, fearing it will hinder his economic and strategic goals, which seek to normalize Saudi relations with Israel.

Despite all this, he did not abandon his project to "purify Gaza," or his strategic investment in Israeli brutality to push Palestinians to seek voluntary emigration. He contacted a number of unnamed countries to accept Palestinian refugees so that all of historic Palestine would be Israeli!

Paradoxically, despite all his approaches, he now calls for a comprehensive strategy for the aftermath of the Gaza war. What strategy? There is no clear, specific plan for the day after.