OPINIONS

Sat 17 Aug 2024 7:04 pm - Jerusalem Time

Russian expert: Was the Battle of the Flood of Al-Aqsa with a Russian-Iranian Green Light

By Alexander Nazarov


The Battle of the Flood of Al-Aqsa with a Russian-Iranian Green Light, by Russian expert Alexander Nazarov, and the following is the full text of the article:


I believe that Moscow is definitely not involved in this conflict, and in my opinion all the statements of Israeli politicians on this matter stem from hatred of Russia and the desire to receive additional assistance from Washington, and while Russia has a working relationship with Hamas, the level of relations does not allow for such a degree of trust until the Russian side is informed of the attack, not to mention close forms of coordination. In addition, Russia is tired of the war in Ukraine.


As for Iran, in my opinion, Hamas’s actions without its consent are unlikely.


But the most important question today is how far Iran is willing to go? I wrote earlier that the moment of the attack on Israel was perfectly chosen, and if Iran is involved, the consequences will be catastrophic for the United States, the West and Israel. The Western economy is on the brink of the abyss, and even half of the impact of closing the Strait of Hormuz will be enough to collapse the Western economy, so an attack on Iran is unlikely, at least the United States, in my opinion, is not interested in this now.


I would like to return to Ukraine and Putin's restraint, and his lack of reaction to provocations.


We now see from the situation in Gaza that Israel's reaction is easily predictable, he can only respond two or ten times stronger than the blow that was dealt to Israel, and this is his traditional line, you can calculate a chess game with Israel five moves in advance.


Israel has trapped itself by reducing the area of the Gaza Strip to a minimum, and now Palestinian civilians have nowhere to run to. It is clear that the expected attack on Gaza will be tantamount to genocide, because large-scale military operations in a densely populated city will lead to tens or even hundreds of thousands of casualties.


This means that it is easy to predict a disproportionate response from Israel and its consequences, including condemnation of Israel’s actions by the majority of humanity. It also gives other countries the right to intervene to prevent genocide in Gaza, and this puts Israel in a multi-front war in a situation where America’s ability to help Israel is severely limited by the war in Ukraine. Europe is already exhausted and tired of the conflict with Russia, and the pro-American forces there are weakening and losing their authority. The genocide in Gaza will further divide Europe and weaken the pro-American forces.


If Iran has long-term plans, then such a start to the conflict from both the military and political sides is very smart and useful.


But we will learn about Iran’s plans later, as we cannot now be sure of any theory.

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Russian expert: Was the Battle of the Flood of Al-Aqsa with a Russian-Iranian Green Light