PALESTINE

Tue 14 May 2024 9:21 am - Jerusalem Time

"The Next Day"... Political maneuvers and internal questions about readiness

With the aggression on the Gaza Strip entering its eighth month, talk again about “the next day,” amid political debates between all relevant parties and contradictory interests. While Israel sees its absolute control over the Gaza Strip, the United States urges it to develop scenarios in which it is outside the Strip for the benefit of a Palestinian administration, according to a vision based on a two-state solution, which Tel Aviv opposes, and rejects any Palestinian presence in the Gaza Strip, would raise hope for the establishment of a Palestinian state, which international talk is growing today about recognizing it.


Political writers and analysts believe that the Palestinian readiness to deal with the day after the war on Gaza, if the occupation withdraws from the Gaza Strip, is an important and necessary matter for healing the wounds and managing the affairs of citizens, which requires strengthening Palestinian-Palestinian unity and understandings, as well as working on a plan and promoting it globally, if the occupation does not withdraw, to pressure it to accept what is agreed upon by the Palestinians regarding the management of the sector.


Writer and political analyst Dr. says: Ghassan Al-Khatib: “The preparations for the next day of the war on the Gaza Strip depend on the results of the war, whether with withdrawal from Gaza or the continuation of the occupation militarily, despite the fact that the occupation has so far failed to find parties to take over the affairs of the Gaza Strip, with its continued refusal to do so by the National Authority or by Hamas".


If Israel maintains its military presence if the fire stops, Al-Khatib points out that Israel will be involved in managing the affairs of the Gaza Strip, and will be forced to search for alternatives. If it fails to remain militarily in the Strip, the situation will return to what it was before the war.


Al-Khatib points out that the Authority has no prospects for whether it will have a role in Gaza or not, since the main players there are Israel and the Hamas movement, and both of them do not want the Authority to have a role.


Al-Khatib explains that if the war on the Gaza Strip ends, the Hamas movement alone will not be able to manage the affairs of the Gaza Strip and rebuild it, as the level of destruction has reached such a high degree that it is not possible to rebuild easily! Also, in light of many countries announcing that their support for reconstruction depends on finding a political solution, the prospects for reconstruction are dark.
Al-Khatib stresses that the shortest path to managing the affairs of the Gaza Strip is to unify the Palestinian political system and reach some formula for coexistence among the Palestinians, without which it is very difficult to reach horizons in light of the continued division.


The writer and political analyst Dr. says: Ali Al-Jarbawi: “There are no features for a Palestinian plan for how to act after the end of the war, but there are matters that must be worked on before that, by ending the division and reaching internal Palestinian understandings, because any Palestinian government cannot work without reaching understandings, and the war In Gaza, it is possible to weaken Hamas and prevent its unilateral rule, but the war will not end Hamas’ existence.”


Al-Jarbawi continues: “Questions must be answered about how to change our political system in a consensual manner, especially since the quarrels and clashes between the two sides of the division are still continuing despite the continuation of the war.”


Al-Jarbawi stresses that Palestinian policy must be launched through an important consensus program that emphasizes how to bring the Palestinian situation together after the war, confront the plans, rebuild Gaza, and make the people there steadfast. This is something that requires a Palestinian-Palestinian approach and understandings to advance the issue towards the regional and international arenas, and not leave the Palestinian fate to others. The result of the division.


Al-Jarbawi points out that the government that will lead Gaza must have agreements and understandings, and not form a government and demand its acceptance. We must promote a government and understandings whose feasibility we convince the world to put pressure on Israel to accept this, whether Israel is satisfied or not, as it rejects the Authority or the Hamas movement to manage the affairs of Gaza. sector.


Writer and political analyst Adnan Al-Sabah stresses that there is supposed to be one unified vision for managing the affairs of the Gaza Strip, but there is still no Palestinian plan to deal with the day after the war, and everything that is happening is American, Israeli, or international proposals.


Al-Sabah says: “The existing reality in Gaza is the presence of the Hamas movement and the resistance, and after the end of the war no one dares to go there to manage the affairs of the Strip without its approval. However, Hamas, in the face of the difficult issues in Gaza, is incapable of being dealt with by major powers, and the extent of the existing pain is incapable of handling it alone.” Managing the affairs of the sector and resolving the crisis,” pointing to the difficult reality in the West Bank as well, which requires a management plan for this stage.


Al-Sabah points out that, unfortunately, no institution, faction, study center, etc. sat down to think about plans for the day after the war, in contrast to the existence of visions for the Israeli occupation and America for the post-war period, and they are modified according to each stage, and America seeks to have a role in the management of Gaza, but if Military rule, on the other hand, continues the resistance.


Al-Sabah believes that the authority must be separated from the PLO, which must manage the political reality while the government manages the service reality, stressing that we must talk about the existence of an authority different from the current authority, and what is required of the Palestinian Authority and the leadership of the various factions, including the Hamas and Jihad movements, is to go to Ending the crime of division.


Al-Sabah notes that the Hamas movement alone cannot manage the affairs of the Gaza Strip, and the world will fight it, and our reality requires a unified Palestinian vision for the day after the war, and it is the responsibility of all factions, authorities, and civil society institutions, in order to manage the affairs of citizens and to heal Gaza’s wounds and tragedies in all details, which is what It requires the Palestinian leadership to rise to the level of what happened.


Professor of International Relations at the Arab American University, writer and political analyst, Dr. Amjad Abu Al-Ezz: “The Palestinians are not ready for the idea of the day after the war, which requires Palestinian-Palestinian reconciliation, the presence of a program, a vision, a political reference, and a national dialogue. However, what exists does not amount to restoration attempts, and is not real attempts to heal the existing dispute.”


Abu Al-Ezz continues, “The Hamas and Fatah movements do not yet have the capacity to manage Gaza’s affairs after the war, as Hamas, despite its strength and presence, lacks international legitimacy and global recognition for it, which considers it a (terrorist) movement, and the Fatah movement possesses that legitimacy but lacks power on the ground.” in Gaza".


Abu Al-Ezz stresses that talking about the “day after” the war is difficult to predict, because the battle is not over, and Israel’s continued presence in Gaza means its entry into a war of attrition that may last more than ten years, and there will be no stability, and the end of the war for Hamas. Victory, and the continuation of the war means victory for Netanyahu.


Abu Al-Ezz points out that the Hamas movement before October 7 is different from what comes after it, in light of its talk about the possibility of concluding a long-term truce, and talk about the possibility of it becoming a political party.


Abu Al-Ezz says: “Talk about the Palestinian administration of Gaza will not be possible without the existence of a political system that the world accepts, and that requires the presence of international, Arab and Palestinian consensus. Therefore, the matter requires real unity and activating the presence of the Hamas and Jihad movements in the PLO, and agreeing on a unified plan and program, and the matter is It is easy if there is the Palestinian intention and desire within a national dialogue.”

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"The Next Day"... Political maneuvers and internal questions about readiness