ARAB AND WORLD
Thu 23 Nov 2023 3:12 pm - Jerusalem Time
Technology has reduced the large military gap between Hamas and Israel
In an analysis published by the American magazine "Foreign Affairs" on Thursday, the magazine says that the military advantages enjoyed by Israel are diminishing, and that the "Hamas" movement has proven that it is difficult, if not impossible, to defeat it by military force, due to modern technology.
The magazine says, “Technology has narrowed the gap between states and terrorists, allowing non-state groups to act in ways that mimic the operations of states; Hamas can launch sophisticated attacks and spread propaganda as much as Israel can, and old tactics have also helped, such as building a set of tunnels under the Gaza to repel a more powerful opponent.
The magazine's commentary adds: "Hamas gained influence by capturing some 240 hostages. Countries have always struggled to defeat terrorist groups, but the war between Israel and Hamas shows why doing so is becoming more difficult."
The magazine stated in its analysis that the clear result of the current war on Gaza is that the Israeli armed forces may have played directly in favor of the Hamas movement when they struck Gaza with enormous force.
The magazine explained, “The attack launched by Hamas, classified as a terrorist organization, on October 7, which killed more than 1,200 people, was met with a very violent Israeli response, while the Israeli army called in more than 350,000 reserve soldiers and launched attacks on the Gaza Strip with the aim of eliminating the political and the military forces of Hamas. Since then, Israeli forces have killed more than 14,000 Palestinians, most of them women and children."
But the magazine believes that it is not surprising at all that Israel confronts Hamas's violence with violence, given the traditional military superiority enjoyed by the Israeli military establishment compared to the Hamas movement.
It pointed out that: “Naturally, Israel always responds to Palestinian movements with excessive force, and this is helped by the fact that the Israeli army is stronger, larger in size, and better resourced than Hamas and other groups classified as terrorists, and Israeli planners realize that their opponents cannot keep up with the Israeli Defense Forces, however, Israel's military advantages are dwarfed by Hamas."
States no longer monopolize the resources needed to project power and promote discourse, according to the magazine, which believes that “many technological developments have disproportionately benefited terrorist groups, beginning with the invention of dynamite, in 1867, to the Kalashnikov assault rifle, also known as the AK-47, which was invented in 1947 in the Soviet Union, and has become a symbol that non-state groups can boast about, citing as an example Hezbollah, whose flag contains a rifle that resembles it."
The magazine explained that in the October 7 attack, “It appeared as if Hamas fighters used old Chinese and Soviet AK-47 rifles to storm Israeli military sites, kill civilians, and take hostages,” but they also used some relatively new tactics and techniques, as the magazine stated, as the group began its attack by firing thousands of missiles to defeat Israel's Iron Dome missile defense system.
According to the magazine, Hamas and the Islamic Jihad movement smuggle missiles from Iran, and can manufacture some explosives and missiles themselves from commercial parts.
Their capabilities to produce missiles have witnessed a clear development, according to the magazine, explaining that in 2005, the range of the Qassam Brigades’ missiles manufactured by Hamas was about ten miles (16 km), but now the missiles that they used in the October 7 attack have been able to cut off 150 miles (241 km).
As with the Ukrainians, who have successfully used commercial drones to attack tanks and troops, the magazine points out in its analysis that Hamas and Islamic Jihad have created their own weapons systems.
To evade Israeli air defenses, the magazine reported that Hamas launched dozens of explosive Al-Zawari drones, which are fixed-wing weapons made by Hamas with materials available in Gaza.
Hamas has also used small commercial drones to drop grenades on Israeli watchtowers and remotely operated machine guns. These drones can be purchased online, and can avoid Israeli radar systems by flying slowly and close to the ground. The Hamas attack was successful because it overwhelmed Israeli defenses with cheap, easily accessible weapons, according to what the magazine described.
The magazine says that social media has had a similar impact on terrorism, “Hamas now stands on equal footing with Israel in its ability to present its own narrative about the war. Hamas uses the messaging application Telegram to recruit new members and disseminate information.”
According to the magazine, “Although Hamas was founded with the aim of eliminating Israel, the movement is unable to do so, so it practices terrorism to gain attention and allies, as the October 7 attack was intended to provoke the Israeli military establishment and push it to exaggerate the reaction that "It would undermine international sympathy for Israel, fuel an uprising in the West Bank and Jerusalem, and mobilize support for Hamas, especially from Iran and the Lebanese Hezbollah group."
Foreign Affairs believes that Hamas used the killing of both Israeli and Palestinian civilians to advance its political agenda.
The magazine claims, “The best way for Israel to defeat Hamas is to restore its high moral standing by reducing its use of force and providing more protection for Palestinian civilians. It will be difficult for Israeli leaders to exercise restraint, because their voters are angry, but doing so will be difficult.” "It is the only way Israel can cut off Hamas' ability to mobilize support and incite further violence."
A truce agreement was reached at dawn on Wednesday between Hamas and Israel, in which Qatar and Egypt helped mediate.
Israel imposes a siege on Gaza and did not stop bombing it in response to the Hamas attack, resulting in the death of more than 14,000 Gazans, about 40 percent of whom are children, according to officials from the Ministry of Health in the Gaza Strip, which are figures approved by the United Nations.
US President Joe Biden announced on Tuesday that he was "completely satisfied" with Israel and Hamas reaching a 4-day truce during which the movement would release 50 women and children in exchange for the release of Palestinian women and children imprisoned in Israel.
Biden said in a statement issued by the White House on Tuesday evening, “I am completely satisfied that some of these brave souls... will be reunited with their families once this agreement is fully implemented.”
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Technology has reduced the large military gap between Hamas and Israel