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PALESTINE

Thu 26 Oct 2023 10:09 am - Jerusalem Time

Russian expert: 4 scenarios for ending Israel's war in Gaza

The war of annihilation that Israel is waging against the Gaza Strip faces a “complex” of estimates of time and results, and when and how it will end. And the reality of the ground advance to storm Gaza.


Russian expert Vladimir Vorsobin believes that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has entered a decisive stage and threatens the world with a third world war.


He told the newspaper "Komsomolskaya Pravda" that the possible scenarios for ending Israel's war on Gaza identify 4 ways out that will spell the end of the war:


1 - The first way out... “terrible”: It consists of trying to realize the dream of the Israeli extreme right by wiping out Gaza with bulldozers. In other words, the deportation of the entire population, and the deaths of hundreds of thousands of civilians and thousands of Jewish soldiers.

This probability is low. Israel's allies have no interest in colluding in such a crime. This scenario includes a certain regional military conflict with the entire Arab world, and the subsequent outbreak of a third world war.


2 - The second way out... “Very bad”: If the ground operation continues for several months, and Gaza is turned into rubble, at least by blowing up Gaza’s basements and tunnels, where there are weapons depots and military factories, then civilians will be forced to flee. But fewer of them die according to the aforementioned first scenario.

The probability of this scenario is moderate. According to the Russian expert, it will be very difficult for the Israeli army to achieve such a crushing defeat of Hamas on the ground.


3 - The third way out... “bad”: which is carrying out the ground operation, but ending without controlling Gaza. The Arab countries are assuming responsibility for the reconstruction of Gaza and its future. Hamas is not losing its face, but it may lose its strength. As for Israel, it will not achieve its declared goals of destroying Hamas and Gaza's underground infrastructure, but it will save the lives of many.

This probability is low. Israeli public opinion will consider this a betrayal and will not believe the disappearance of Hamas from Gaza.


4 - The fourth way out... “the best of all”: There will be no ground operation, and on the condition that Hamas gives up its weapons after destroying the tunnels, and the people of Gaza return home... The Jews, who do not trust this fragile peace, are building a second wall and preparing for war. It is coming, even if it is far away, but it is inevitable.

The possibility of this scenario, unfortunately, is almost negligible, according to the estimates of the Russian expert, Vladimir Vorsobin.


Source: Al- ghad



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Russian expert: 4 scenarios for ending Israel's war in Gaza

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