By Nazir Mjally 

Despite the Israeli consensus on "the necessity of carrying out a wild invasion of the Gaza Strip", whether this is in the political or military leadership or even at the popular level, there are clear differences about the price that will cost it and the results that will result in it.

And after it became clear that the American administration prevented the postponement of this invasion until it ends in the resolution of the prisoner's issue, and that European governments in the majority prefer to retreat from the ground invasion, the Israelis are engaged in wide discussions about this invasion and its desired results in exchange for the expected, desired and existing results.

The majority supports harmony (and there are those who call it obedience) with the American position, which is prohibited so far. According to crossed sources in Washington and Tel Aviv, Israel has informed the United States agreeing to demand and freezing the ground attack to another date, and "but without giving up the goal of liquidating (Hamas)."

This decision is due to several reasons, first, is Israel really ready for such an operation, and will this be an adventure or a gambling, and is Israel able to bear the price of this invasion in the event of a serious resistance from "Hamas" and the rest of the factions? It is said that the general, who was sent by President Joe Biden, along with a team of experience in fighting in the Middle East, sitting at the headquarters of the military leadership in Tel Aviv, studying military plans, examining the preparations made by Hamas, and asking difficult questions. They want this attack to succeed, if it was approved.

Second, Israel should guarantee that the ground process does not lead to sabotage on the great efforts made by the United States, Egypt and Qatar, and several other Arab and foreign countries, to reach a prisoner exchange deal with the least possible loss in Israel. This is a reason that the majority of the Israelis see "in a" face ", and the majority of the Israeli prisoners and with them the majority of newspapers, which published opening articles calling for a bragging situation that rejects any such deal, and indifference to the expected" Hamas "celebrations when Israel pays the price and release thousands of prisoners .

The former Israeli army chief of staff, Dan Halutz, said he was ready to support an exchange deal in which Israeli prisoners return to freedom in exchange for the release of all Palestinian prisoners from Israeli prisons. He added, “Netanyahu has agreed to release 1027 Palestinian prisoners in exchange for Gilad Shalit. On this rate, we will have to release 20,000 Palestinians. What is the problem to release 9,000 prisoners currently in Israeli prisons?

The third reasons for agreeing to postpone the land invasion of Gaza, warning against the expansion of the war to the north, with Hezbollah and perhaps with Iranian militias in Syria, Yemen and Iraq, and perhaps Iran itself. I have already heard such threats and this time may be serious, and the American forces want to be ready for such a war and may participate in them directly. Today it is not ready yet.

Dr. Tafi Barail, the editor of the Arab Affairs in the newspaper "Haaretz": The public demand to release all the kidnapped now "and at any cost" is a deserved demand, provided that it is accompanied by the call to "destroy (Hamas) once and forever", it is an ambitious ambition, It causes disappointing collision of will. What do we know about the price of liberating all the kidnapped? "Hamas" has not yet submitted all its requests, and it can only be assumed that she wants, in return, "only", to release all its security prisoners and other factions, including those who were arrested in the last battle. Perhaps you will also demand the suspension of the land attack and the approval of a long ceasefire, pumping money to Gaza in order to rebuild it from the old and new destruction and obtain international guarantees to implement the agreements? "Because (at any cost) also means (abdication of the demand to destroy" Hamas "and erase it from above the face of the earth).

Barail adds that the destruction of "Hamas" means tens of thousands of soldiers who will enter the Strip, and tanks that quickly make the road in the narrow alleys, accompanied by fighters who purify homes and cellars one by one, and every minute the weapons warehouses that were emptied on humans are changed, some of them are sabotage Others are suspicious and many of them "have no connection", including children. It will pass a week, perhaps a month and perhaps more, and there will be no pressure; Because the permission was given to us. How many soldiers will be killed and injured? How many of them will remain disabled? How many bereaved families will join the miserable menu that dug on October 7? What about the kidnapped, how many of them will survive during the attack?

He saw the liberation of Arab affairs, that Israel has no realistic plan, not only for the next day, but even for the coming years, unless it is preparing for the first Lebanese war scenario that lasted 18 years after the victory over the Palestine Liberation Organization, and the destruction of its infrastructure. Because even if Gaza is occupied again and the promise was fulfilled and the revenge is completed, and Hamas may disappear from Gaza, but it will remain with leaders, leaders, infrastructure, many weapons and capabilities, to the side of Israel, as in Lebanon and Syria.