- Whether you loved the late President Anwar Sadat, or you did not like him, you can only agree that he was the owner of a political school that differed from everything that preceded it, whether in his dealings with the Egyptian internal situation, or in his approach, which was at the time new in all directions, especially with regard to settlement with Israel.
Sadat’s theory was based on a principle he declared boldly and frankly: “99 percent of the solution cards are in the hands of America.” So, according to the principle of the closest distance between two points is the straight line, and given his deep awareness of the organic bond between America and Israel, the principle of the straight line included a thunderbolt visit to Jerusalem, and to deliver a speech before the “Knesset” in the presence of all of Israel, government and opposition, headed by its most extreme right-wing leader, Menachem Begin.
At the same time, he developed his relationship with the American administration, and among the preparations for his new relationship, he expelled the Soviet experts, fought the October War, achieved a remarkable achievement in it, and began work.
The 99 percent theory was tested in the arduous talks that Sadat held at the “first” Camp David, and despite Begin’s desperate attempts to compress Egyptian claims within limits that suit Israel’s political and security strategy, what finally happened was that the 99 prevailed over the one, and Begin acquiesced in the settlement of President Jimmy Carter. The Egyptian-Israeli treaty was signed, implemented, and continues to this day.
Over the long and busy years that have passed since that “Camp David”, great transformations took place, which would not have happened had it not been for what Sadat did: the wars of the Arab armies with Israel ended, the Israeli control over the Suez Canal ended, the Sinai was liberated, and after that the Jordanian treaty was signed. Israel, after the Palestinians recognized Israel's right to exist within secure and recognized borders, in exchange for Israel's recognition of the "Palestine Liberation Organization" to begin the Oslo process, as the beginning of the most important news, which is a final settlement of the Arab-Israeli conflict, in a bet that the Middle East will enter a state of calm and stability. , in return for the "pariah" Israel being a natural part of it.
The Jordanian-Israeli treaty was stabilized by virtue of the stability of the regime in Jordan, but the matter seemed completely different when the incursion into the Palestinian-Israeli file took place, and complications began to follow during the phase of implementing the agreements and understandings produced by Oslo, until it faltered and then retreated... Here it is worth paying attention to the American role since that historic handshake in the gardens of the White House, between Arafat and Rabin, to this day, and on this day, if Oslo is not dead, it is in a dying state.
The American march to save the project, without specifying its many facts, was deteriorating from one failure to another, sometimes or often the Palestinians were blamed, and sometimes some blame appeared on the Israelis, until the radical coup that President Trump carried out with full participation with Benjamin Netanyahu, when he announced his deal, which the Arabs and the world - as well as the American Democrats - unanimously rejected, and emphasized its futility.
The American march to address the failures of Oslo, the latest of which was Secretary of State John Kerry’s admission that Israel thwarted his efforts, which took him a whole year, in which he devoted himself to the task of saving the peace process, proved that the cards that were 99 percent in the hands of America moved to the hands of Israel, and it became the owner of the right to “veto” everything that it does not like about the American stances towards the Palestinians, which resulted in an equation that I do not see absent from the awareness and calculations of influencers in the Arab decision-making, which is that Israel is a partner in the American global policy, in varying proportions, but it is the decision-maker in the Palestinian issue. As if it is an Israeli internal affair, and herein lies the intractable knot.
OPINIONS
Wed 06 Sep 2023 9:33 am - Jerusalem Time
Sadat's theory and America... and the Palestinian solution
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Sadat's theory and America... and the Palestinian solution