Will Gantz open the doors that Netanyahu closed?

For the first time, opinion polls give Benny Gantz a significant advantage over Benjamin Netanyahu, if elections are held these days.

Benny Gantz, and when he was Minister of Defense in the Bennett-Lapid government, he opened a direct channel of communication with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, and in his meeting that took place in his home in the village of “Ras al-Ain”, gifts were exchanged between the two men, and what Abbas got was a bottle of oil as a gesture of goodwill By the man, who commands the Israeli army deployed heavily throughout the West Bank, which is divided into three letters of the alphabet “A, B, C” with land, sea and air deployment in the so-called Gaza envelope, where the “defense” army wages wide wars at times, and limited retaliation All the while, with a permanent blockade.

On the scale of the bad and the least bad, Abbas’s preference for Gantz seems logical, when compared to Netanyahu and even Lapid and Bennett. However, Gantz’s winds did not come with what Abbas’s ship desired, so the man and the oil bottle were absent from the head of power and decision, so that Netanyahu would return again, not because of the strength of his supporters, followers and allies. Rather, due to the failure of Gantz and his allies to manage the recent election battle, the results of which are still fresh through a comfortable parliamentary majority, which even Netanyahu himself did not expect.

Benny Gantz aspires to be an extension of Yitzhak Rabin, despite the great differences in the historical and leadership characteristics and charisma between the two generals.

And all of this is in favor of Rabin, while what is in the interest of Gantz is that he is the only general competing with Netanyahu now.

It is known that the Israeli voter tends to the generals, and prefers to cast his vote in favor of any of them. Even Barak, whom the veteran thinker Uri Avnery described as a "peace criminal", benefited from the general's rhythm and image to win the prime minister by general and direct vote.

It is also in the interest of Gantz that he is the man most qualified for compromise in the internal Israeli game, and this is what happened with him even in his military and political life, when he was appointed chief of staff, although he was not the strongest candidate in the traditional hierarchy for the most important military position in the country.

His situation now, if he continues to rise, or maintains his superiority, qualifies him to be the most likely to lead a coalition that overthrows Netanyahu and assumes the presidency of the government with a comfortable parliamentary majority, in which he is supported directly and indirectly by Arab representatives who have the opportunity to be for the second time the helmsman’s egg at some point. After Netanyahu.

The most important and major question that concerns the Palestinians and many others at the American, European and international levels is whether Gantz’s supposed or potential coalition will open the door that Netanyahu closed, i.e. what has been termed as the “political horizon” demanded by the countries of the Arab moderation camp, and most of the countries of the world, or The shifting sands of the internal situation in Israel will swallow its relative moderation, just as it swallowed a bottle of oil, and what significance it carried at the time!

The answer to this question is indefinite, as long as we are far from the inevitability of general elections, and as long as Israel itself is experiencing deep and comprehensive interactions whose results are not accurately read, whether on the internal level or on the level of its relationship with the Palestinians.

The other part of the equation is, what can Gantz do if Abbas is absent from the Palestinian scene that overlaps in its entirety and details with the Israeli scene, and if the leadership of the democratic administration is renewed after the upcoming presidential elections or fails in favor of the Republican competitor, the owner of the deal of the century?

Realistic and practical questions with which the conclusions and indicators of early polls are not correct, except that the standard adopted towards the leaders of Israel, i.e. the worst and the least bad, makes Abbas continue to prefer Gantz and his gifts, provided that the second does not let himself down and bet on him!