ARAB AND WORLD
Wed 15 Mar 2023 8:58 pm - Jerusalem Time
Israeli estimates: The chances of escalation on the northern front are low
Translation by "Al Quds" dot com - The Israeli security services estimate that the chance of a military confrontation erupting on the northern front with the Lebanese Hezbollah, against the background of the negotiations to demarcate the maritime borders , is low, and that there is a possibility that the agreement could be signed by the end of this month.
And according to the Hebrew newspaper "Haaretz", in its Sunday edition, during the cabinet session last Thursday, clear security assessments were heard regarding the small possibility of a war breaking out, despite the directives of Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz to prepare for such a scenario.
According to the newspaper, the Israeli security establishment does not see that there is any security risk in the agreement itself, and believes that the establishment of the new maritime borders does not endanger Israel's security interests at all, and does not affect the freedom of action of the naval forces in the region, and that the agreement is very good in terms of security. The army representatives also reported this to the Cabinet during the last meeting.
She indicated that the timetable for signing the agreement is expected to end soon, at the end of the month, against the backdrop of the end of Lebanese President Michel Aoun’s term, and the elections in Israel, on the first of next month.
The newspaper pointed out that the Israeli army believes that if an agreement is not signed, the start of gas extraction from the Karish field should not be postponed, because this would be considered a concession in the face of Hezbollah's threats, and would harm deterrence against the organization, and in such a case it might choose The Lebanese party responded by using drones like the one it launched recently, and they were all shot down.
The Israeli army estimates that the leader of the party, Hassan Nasrallah, does not have a great appetite for war now, and is aware of the seriousness of the economic and political situation in Lebanon. Therefore, in recent months, it has increased its protection and enhanced the defense of gas sites in the Mediterranean, and executive plans for an Israeli counter-attack on Lebanon have been completed, in response to a possible move by Hezbollah.
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Israeli estimates: The chances of escalation on the northern front are low