Israeli Strategic Expert Warns: Military Force Alone Will Not Achieve Security Without a Palestinian State

Media and strategic advisor Alon Arnon affirmed that the continuation of Israeli aggression in the region will not lead to real security as long as Palestinians do not obtain their legitimate national rights. He explained in his analysis that conviction is growing within Israeli circles that military force alone cannot protect the home front from continuous erosion.

Arnon pointed out that the conflict management policy pursued by successive governments has begun to collapse in the face of Israel's attrition on seven open combat fronts. He considered that maintaining strategic alliances and preventing economic collapse requires an Israeli realization that the two-state solution represents a fundamental guarantee for future regional stability.

Citing recent history, the strategic expert considered that military arrogance has always been the graveyard of successful political action, as happened in the experiences of Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq. He stressed that superior technological power does not have the ability to extinguish the national aspirations of peoples striving for liberation and independence.

The analysis warned that Israel does not have the ability to withstand multi-sector wars of attrition for long, as its military and social structure was designed for swift and short campaigns. The Israeli economy and reserve army suffer from immense financial and psychological pressures as a result of years of continuous erosion of human and material resources.

Arnon warned that the absence of a political horizon transforms current wars into mere temporary truces preceding more violent and bloody rounds in the near future. He described the continuation of a purely military approach as a dangerous gamble that costs Israel a heavy price in the blood of its citizens and the stability of its society.

The article touched upon the psychological and social effects on the younger generations in Israel, where children grow up in an unhealthy reality characterized by constant fear and a deteriorating sense of personal security. He considered that the current conflict represents a clash between extremist religious visions seeking an eternal war and a realistic perspective that recognizes the importance of civil prosperity.

Arnon believes that recognizing a Palestinian state is not a surrender, as some promote, but a rational decision that blocks the path of forces that thrive on the absence of political solutions. A Palestinian state, from his point of view, is the strongest strategic blow that can be dealt to parties seeking to perpetuate the conflict forever.

The analysis explained that radical transformations in the region and the emergence of regional alliances to confront common threats require a fundamental solution to the Palestinian conflict as a prerequisite. Without this solution, regional alliances will remain fragile and unable to confront the major strategic challenges surrounding the region.

The strategic advisor warned that the absence of a Palestinian state places the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan on a powder keg, threatening the stability of Israel's longest border. An independent Palestinian state represents a guarantee for the stability of the political system in Amman, which directly reflects on Israeli national security.

Economically, Arnon revealed data indicating that the two-state solution could add about $123 billion to Israel's GDP within a decade. This expected growth comes as a result of stopping the financial bleeding associated with ongoing military operations in the occupied Palestinian territories.

He pointed out that the huge budgets allocated to support army forces in the West Bank are directly deducted from education and health sector allocations. This imbalance in resource distribution threatens the collapse of essential civil services within Israel in the long term due to the heavy economic burden.

Arnon concluded that adhering to the status quo is no longer a viable option in an era of multiple wars and cross-border threats. The financial and psychological cost of maintaining the occupation has exceeded the Israeli society's capacity to endure, requiring a radical change in strategic thinking.

He stressed that military force, no matter how high its peak, cannot be a substitute for a comprehensive political vision that guarantees the rights of all parties. History proves that regular armies always lose if they cannot transform their field victories into a stable and internationally and regionally acceptable political reality.

In conclusion of his analysis, Arnon called on decision-makers in Israel to prioritize rational realism over extremist ideological concepts that are leading the country to the abyss. He considered that time is running out for Israel to make courageous decisions that ensure its survival as a prosperous state in a turbulent regional environment.

The fighter wins if he does not lose, and the regular army loses if it does not win.