Dr. Hussein Al-Deek: The continuation of the war between India and Pakistan would have threatened the United States' position as the world's largest arms exporter and strengthened China's influence.
Dr. Hassan Ayoub: Continuing the war would have served China's interests by taking advantage of the exhaustion of India and Pakistan and allowing it to strengthen its influence, which explains the American intervention.
Nazzal Nazzal: Washington will reevaluate its military technologies after the air battle demonstrated the fragility of Western weapons compared to Chinese military technology.
Dr. Aqel Salah: Trump aims to bolster his image as a man of peace, especially after his post praising the "common sense and great intelligence" of India and Pakistan.
Dr. Amr Hussein: The US move toward India and Pakistan reflects growing concern about the repercussions for regional stability in South Asia following the recent air battle.
Firas Yaghi: The US intervention was not merely a mediation, but rather a strategic move to protect its interests, affirm Trump's role as a global leader, and weaken Chinese competition.
The recent crisis between India and Pakistan saw swift US intervention to defuse the military escalation between the two nuclear-armed neighbors, a move that raised questions about Washington's true motives.
In separate interviews with Al-Quds, writers, political analysts, and experts believe this move is part of a US strategy aimed at preserving America's standing in light of China's superior weapons in the recent air battle, which revealed new challenges to US global military hegemony.
Some interpret the US intervention as an attempt by the Trump administration to avoid any escalation that might serve Chinese interests, especially given Beijing's ability to exploit the conflict to enhance its regional influence. The air battle demonstrated the superiority of Pakistani aircraft supported by Chinese technology, threatening the position of Western weapons and raising Washington's fears of losing its market share in the global arms industry.
On the political front, some believe that Washington sought to bolster its image as an effective international mediator while protecting its economic and military interests. Furthermore, the success of American mediation in ending the war may be an attempt to contain any regional repercussions that threaten international security, especially in light of the escalating competition between the major powers.
Reducing global conflict hotspots
Dr. Hussein Al-Deek, a writer and political analyst specializing in American affairs, asserts that the rapid American intervention to mediate and end the war between India and Pakistan was driven by the United States' fundamental interests, along with the new Trump administration's vision to mitigate global conflict.
Al-Deek explains that this intervention reflects Washington's strategy to maintain the stability of its traditional allies, India and Pakistan, and prevent an escalation that could threaten international peace and security, especially between two nuclear-armed states.
Al-Deek points out that Pakistan, a traditional US ally, has recently moved closer to China, Washington's strategic enemy, while India remains a strong US ally.
Al-Deek asserts that Washington does not want a war between its allies, as this would weaken its international standing and hinder its focus on the primary conflict with China.
Al-Deek explains that if this war had been directly with China, Washington might have sought to inflame it, but in this case, it worked to quickly extinguish it to protect its interests.
Al-Deek asserts that US Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio led intensive, secret diplomatic efforts, away from the spotlight, that resulted in a surprising agreement between nuclear-armed neighbors India and Pakistan.
Al-Deek points out that this agreement, which took place behind closed doors, is not temporary but permanent, as the Indian and Pakistani defense ministers are scheduled to meet within days to discuss future arrangements.
Al-Deek asserts that this move is in line with the Trump administration's vision of reducing marginal conflicts, in contrast to previous administrations, particularly Joe Biden's, which Trump accused of fueling wars such as those in Ukraine and Gaza.
Al-Deek points out that the timing of the US intervention was influenced by the superiority of the Pakistani Air Force, supported by Chinese weapons, over Indian forces equipped with US and French systems.
Chinese weapons are superior to American and French weapons.
Al-Deek explains that the recent air battle demonstrated Pakistan's ability to shoot down advanced Indian aircraft and missiles, revealing the reliability of Chinese weapons and the fragility of American and French air systems.
Al-Deek believes that the continuation of the war between India and Pakistan would have "exposed" the power of American weapons, threatening the United States' position as the world's largest arms exporter and strengthening China's influence in the arms market.
Al-Deek asserts that this battle, although it was between India and Pakistan, was an indirect confrontation between the American and Chinese military forces.
Al-Deek points out that China's superiority in neutralizing Indian aircraft, including French Rafale jets, had economic and political dimensions, impacting the global arms trade.
Al-Deek points out that Washington, as an international policeman, seeks to control the pace of conflicts, especially between its allies, leveraging its strong partnerships with Pakistan in the fight against terrorism and with India militarily and politically.
Al-Deek asserts that US intervention has enhanced stability in South Asia and demonstrated Washington's ability to impose its hegemony in managing conflicts between its allies.
Strategic calculations to limit China's influence
For his part, writer and political analyst specializing in American affairs, Dr. Hassan Ayoub, says that the United States' intervention to mediate and end the war between India and Pakistan was driven by strategic calculations aimed at limiting China's growing influence and avoiding the threat of nuclear escalation.
Ayyoub explains that the administration of President Donald Trump, during its first and current terms, has demonstrated a marked retreat from the "Asia Pivot" strategy established by former President Barack Obama and continued by President Joe Biden, which focused on containing China in Central and East Asia, the South China Sea, and the Indian Ocean.
Ayub points out that this decline has left India with the impression that there is a regional vacuum that could be exploited to escalate its historical rivalry with Pakistan, with the aim of imposing regional hegemony.
But Ayub asserts that this Indian behavior, driven by the militant nationalist tendencies of the Bharatiya Janata Party and Prime Minister Narendra Modi, poses a threat to American strategy.
Ayyoub explains that continuing the war would have served China's interests, as it shares borders with both countries and has direct regional interests. China would benefit from exhausting India and Pakistan, allowing it to strengthen its influence and consolidate its presence in the region. This explains why the United States intervened to mediate and reach an agreement to end the war.
Fear of expanding Chinese influence
Ayyoub asserts that the US intervention came to prevent this scenario, as Washington fears that the conflict would lead to greater Chinese expansion and possibly the strengthening of a Russian-Chinese alliance extending southward, threatening the stability of Central and East Asia.
Ayyoub explains that these strategic calculations prompted the Trump administration to intervene urgently to end the conflict, to preserve regional balances and avoid an escalation that could include the use of nuclear weapons.
Ayub believes that the air battle between the two countries revealed the astonishing superiority of Chinese weapons used by Pakistan, particularly its fighter jets, which have successfully shot down advanced Indian aircraft, including French Rafale jets and other Western-made ones.
Ayub describes this superiority as a "wake-up call" for the United States and its allies, as China has demonstrated its ability to offer a superior alternative to Western weapons, strengthening its economic and military alliances through the Belt and Road Initiative, in which China has invested trillions of dollars.
Ayub points out that this development threatens the United States' position in the global arms market and represents a severe blow to India and its hardline Hindu nationalist policies that are hostile to everything non-Indian.
Ayyoub asserts that this military reality prompted Washington to intervene to protect its strategic interests, as the continuation of the war would have led to further exposure of Western weapons to advanced Chinese technology.
Ayyoub explains that the success of US mediation reflects the Trump administration's desire to mitigate regional conflicts that China could exploit, with a focus on directly confronting Chinese influence.
Ayub asserts that this crisis has exposed the fragility of India's aggressive tendencies and contributed to strengthening regional stability. However, it also reveals the significant challenges facing the United States in maintaining its military and economic superiority.
Strategic, economic and nuclear considerations
For his part, Nizar Nazzal, a researcher and expert on conflict issues, says that it is in the United States' interest to prevent a war between India and Pakistan, given strategic, economic, and nuclear considerations.
Nazzal explains that the rapid US intervention to de-escalate the escalation between the two nuclear-armed states stemmed from Washington's fears that the situation could spiral out of control, potentially leading to disastrous consequences for global stability.
Nazzal points out that the outbreak of war in this sensitive region would negatively impact shipping routes, energy prices, and the global capitalist system, in addition to threatening regional security due to the massive nuclear capabilities of both countries.
Nazal believes that the recent air battle between Pakistani and Indian forces was not merely a regional conflict, but rather an indirect confrontation between the West, led by the United States, and China.
Nazal explains that the superiority of the Pakistani Air Force, supported by Chinese J-10 aircraft and advanced air defense systems, has demonstrated its ability to shoot down the advanced French Rafale aircraft used by India with support.
American and French.
Nazzal believes this superiority reveals China's rise as a true competitor to the West in military technology, threatening the position of Western arms in global markets and diminishing its market share.
Nazzal explains that India's air defeat was a "fatal blow" to the pride of American and European military industries, prompting Washington to intervene urgently to prevent further escalation that could strengthen Chinese influence.
Maintaining stability in South Asia
Nazzal points out that US intervention did not begin only after the air clash, but was evident from the outset of the crisis, as Washington expressed early concern about a war between two nuclear-armed states.
Nazzal stresses that the United States seeks to maintain stability in South Asia, especially in light of global tensions that suggest the existence of a “third, precise world war,” including:
Conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza, tensions between Iran and Israel, the Houthis and the West.
Nazzal explains that these conflicts reflect a fierce rivalry between major powers, with Pakistan and India representing one front in this indirect conflict.
Nazzal believes that the United States, under President Donald Trump's leadership, is seeking to de-escalate global fronts, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, but faces significant challenges in doing so.
Nazzal asserts that Washington's success in de-escalating the conflict between India and Pakistan reflects both sides' awareness of the danger of conventional warfare transforming into an unconventional war that could involve nuclear weapons.
Nazzal explains that any war between these two nuclear powers will not have repercussions limited to Indian geography.
Not only to Pakistan, but it will also extend to the entire world, given the strategic importance of the region.
Nazzal asserts that Washington will reevaluate its military technologies to confront the Chinese challenge, especially after the air battle demonstrated the fragility of Western weapons compared to Chinese military technology.
Nazzal points out that this crisis will have profound repercussions on US defense policies and the nature of future global competition.
Trump aspires to win the Nobel Peace Prize
For his part, writer and political researcher Dr. Aqel Salah believes that US President Donald Trump's intervention to stop the war between India and Pakistan was driven by a combination of American strategic interests and his personal ambitions to win the Nobel Peace Prize.
Salah explains that several factors prompted Trump's swift action, most notably Pakistan's military superiority in the air battle, which revealed the superiority of Chinese weapons over the American and French systems used by India. This prompted India to request American intervention to save face.
Salah points out that Trump's failure to stop the war between Russia and Ukraine dealt him a severe blow, prompting him to seek to restore the United States' image as a global power capable of imposing its will.
Salah believes this intervention sends a message to the Ukrainian president that America is still the stronger player.
Salah asserts that Trump's goal with this move is to bolster his image as a strong leader ahead of his upcoming visit to the Middle East, presenting himself to the Gulf states as a leader capable of starting and ending wars, emphasizing that his voice is heard.
Salah believes that Trump is seeking to cover up his failure to end the war in the Gaza Strip and his inability to compel Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to accept his vision for a solution.
Salah points out that Trump's ambition to win the Nobel Peace Prize is a key motivation, as he works to end conflicts such as this war, negotiate a peaceful nuclear agreement with Iran, de-escalate tensions between Israel and Turkey, release hostages in Gaza, and facilitate the entry of humanitarian aid.
Salah explains that these steps are aimed at enhancing his image as a man of peace, especially after his post in which he praised the "common sense and great intelligence" of India and Pakistan.
On the military front, Salah asserts that Pakistan's superiority in air combat, thanks to Chinese weapons, has dealt a severe blow to the American and French systems used by India.
Fear of defeat by Western weapons
Salah explains that a continuation of the war would have led to a greater defeat for Western weapons, strengthening China's position as a military and industrial power. The war also led to Pakistan shooting down more than 30 Israeli-made drones, revealing Chinese superiority and endangering American and Israeli industrial secrets.
On the financial front, Salah points out that this superiority threatens the US military industries, which represent a huge source of income for the American economy.
Salah asserts that the continuation of the war would have reduced confidence in American weapons and strengthened China's position in global arms markets, which would have brought military and financial benefits to China. Therefore, the United States transferred secret information to India, possibly related to...
The extent of China's military superiority, to push it to accept the agreement and avoid greater military embarrassment.
Salah asserts that India and Pakistan's possession of nuclear weapons was a decisive factor in Trump's intervention, as he seeks to avoid a nuclear war that could devastate the region and bolster his image as a savior of world peace.
Salah believes that this intervention not only protected American interests, but also served Trump's personal goals in seeking the Nobel Prize, while weakening Chinese influence.
And save the American and Israeli military industries from a potential crisis.
Major shifts in the balance of air power
Egyptian writer, political analyst, and researcher in international and strategic relations, Dr. Amr Hussein, asserts that the rapid US intervention to stop the war between India and Pakistan came in an exceptional context, contradicting Washington's traditional approach to exploiting international conflicts to advance its strategic interests.
Hussein explains that this move reflects growing concern within US circles about the repercussions of military escalation on regional stability in South Asia, particularly after the recent air battle, "the largest in modern times," which revealed significant shifts in the balance of air power in the region.
Hussein points out that the timing of the US intervention carries profound strategic implications, particularly given the remarkable performance of the Pakistani Air Force, equipped with Chinese-made aircraft and missiles, which clearly outperformed the Indian Air Force, which is backed by US and French weapons systems.
Containing Chinese expansion in South Asia
Hussein believes that this superiority may prompt Washington to reevaluate its defense policies in the region, with the aim of preserving its influence and protecting the interests of its allies, especially India, which is a key strategic partner in the face of growing Chinese influence.
Hussein believes that recent US moves may signal the beginning of a restructuring of defense relations between Washington and New Delhi, with a focus on strengthening security partnerships and developing new arms strategies.
Hussein asserts that this move also aims to contain Chinese expansion in South Asia, where Beijing has become a major player in supporting Pakistan's military capabilities. These developments will have far-reaching repercussions for regional and international balances of power.
India is a major economic partner of Washington.
In turn, writer and political analyst Firas Yaghi asserts that the US intervention to stop the war between India and Pakistan reflects President Donald Trump's strategy to de-escalate global conflicts, especially given the close strategic ties that bind the United States to India, one of its closest allies.
Yaghi explains that India is a major economic partner for Washington, through projects such as the India-Europe Corridor announced under President Joe Biden, making any war with Pakistan a threat to US interests and an opportunity for China to enhance its regional influence.
Yaghi points out that Pakistan, despite its proximity to China, maintains positive relations with the United States and has followed Washington's directives on issues such as counterterrorism in Afghanistan.
Yaghi asserts that this dual role made American intervention decisive, as the State Department and the White House led intensive negotiations with both sides to reach a ceasefire. Trump also congratulated India and Pakistan on the agreement, affirming his commitment to promoting global stability.
Yaghi asserts that the Indian-Pakistani air battle, which involved 100 aircraft, revealed the astonishing superiority of Chinese technology, both in air defense systems and the warplanes used by Pakistan. These weapons successfully shot down French Rafale jets, a symbol of European industry, as well as Russian MiG and Sukhoi fighter jets, reflecting an unprecedented superiority over Western and Russian industries.
Major shifts in the arms market in favor of China
Yaghi explains that this superiority has boosted the shares of Chinese companies, raising concerns among the US administration, which fears major shifts in the global arms market in China's favor.
Yaghi asserts that the continuation of the war would have led to further exposure of Chinese weapons, threatening the United States' dominance as the largest arms exporter.
Yaghi points out that countries like Egypt have begun to rely on Chinese weapons for air defense and aviation, reflecting growing confidence in China's military industries.
Yaghi points out that this development poses a strategic threat to the United States, extending to the military sphere, not just in economic and technological competition, where China excels in multiple sectors.
Yaghi explains that this concern prompted Washington to exert strong pressure to end the conflict, as a continuation of the war would have given China an opportunity to demonstrate its military superiority, weakening the position of Western weapons and strengthening Chinese influence in global markets.
Yaghi asserts that the US intervention was not merely a mediation effort, but rather a strategic move to protect American economic and military interests, affirm Trump's role as a global leader seeking stability, and weaken Chinese competition at a crucial time.
Share your opinion
Trump's mediation to stop the war: an attempt to protect the US arms market and counter Chinese influence