OPINIONS
Fri 29 Dec 2023 11:58 am - Jerusalem Time
The Palestinian people vote
The latest opinion polls in the West Bank and Gaza Strip show a significant rise in the popularity of the Hamas movement, and a greater popular rally around the line of armed resistance. Despite the hideous massacres and massive destruction caused by the Israeli occupation in its aggression against the Gaza Strip, it has failed miserably in isolating Hamas and the resistance forces from the Palestinian popular incubator
Supporting the Battle of Al-Aqsa Flood:
The poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research in cooperation with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, the results of which were released on December 13 and included the opinions of the public in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, showed that 72% of Palestinians believe that Hamas’s decision to attack and launch the Al-Aqsa Flood Battle on 7 Last October was right.
62% believe that Hamas will emerge victorious from this battle, and 72% expect that Hamas will succeed in returning to ruling the Gaza Strip after the war, despite “Israel’s” declared intention to eliminate it.
This is consistent with a large majority of 73% believing that “Israel” will not succeed in causing a second Palestinian Nakba, and an overwhelming majority of 85% affirming that “Israel” will fail to displace the population of the Gaza Strip.
It is noteworthy that these results, which show high confidence in Hamas and the resistance, came in the context of a poll in which people’s opinions were taken at the height of a fierce aggression against the Gaza Strip in which “Israel”, whose army is considered among the most powerful armies in the world, allied itself with major powers, led by the United States, against resistance forces that have very little military capabilities compared to their enemies, and live in a poor, besieged environment.
These opinions were also taken after more than 20,000 Palestinians, including more than 6,000 children and 4,000 women, were murdered, 36,000 others were wounded, and about two-thirds of the population of the Gaza Strip were displaced, and at a time when 56% of the respondents from the Gaza Strip stated that they do not have enough food for a day or two, and 64% of them confirm that a member of their family was killed or wounded in this war.
Between the performance of the Ramallah Authority and the performance of Hamas:
According to the same poll, 60% of the Palestinian public prefer Hamas to control the Gaza Strip after the war, while 16% prefer the Palestinian Authority to control a national unity government, but after excluding President Mahmoud Abbas, and only 7% prefer a Palestinian Authority led by President Mahmoud Abbas, which is a percentage Shocking for the Authority, and for President Abbas, as the National Unity Government was widely popular, and 72% of the public were satisfied with Hamas’ performance during the war on the Gaza Strip, while only 14% were satisfied with the Authority’s performance, and were satisfied with the performance of Yahya Al-Sinwar, the leader of Hamas in Gaza. 69% were satisfied with the performance of Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas in Gaza, compared to only 11% who were satisfied with the performance of President Mahmoud Abbas.
On the other hand, 68% of the public believe that the Palestinian Authority has become a burden on the Palestinian people, and 58% even support the dissolution of the Palestinian Authority itself. Only a minority of 20% supports pursuing the path of peaceful negotiations in order to end the occupation, while there is a majority of 69% who support a return to the intifada and armed resistance.
There are 88% calling on President Mahmoud Abbas to resign, and this percentage rises among the people of the West Bank, where Abbas has authority, to 92% and this is a desire that was repeated in previous polls, but it reached a high peak in this poll.
Perhaps this explains what is being circulated Arab and internationally these days, that President Mahmoud Abbas is no longer qualified to continue leading the next stage, and that an alternative must be searched to replace him. Some circles are even discussing the possibility of releasing the Fatah leader Marwan Barghouti from Israeli prisons as he is the only one qualified to unite Fatah's ranks in the face of the rise in Hamas's popularity.
Presidential and legislative elections:
In line with the results of the poll, if presidential elections were to take place in a competition between Fatah President Mahmoud Abbas and Hamas President Ismail Haniyeh, Haniyeh would receive 78% of the votes compared to only 16% for Abbas, and there is no chance for Fatah to win the presidential battle unless Marwan Barghouti participates in it, as he will get 47% compared to 43% for Haniyeh and only 7% for Abbas.
If legislative elections take place, 51% will elect the Hamas (Change and Reform) list, compared to 19% who will elect the Fatah list, and all other lists will receive only 4%.
It is noted that 25% have not yet decided, and when this percentage of undecided people decide, they will most likely choose (as previously experienced) between Hamas and Fatah, which means that the chance of the Hamas list reaching a percentage exceeding 60% is very high.
Perhaps this indicator, which exceeds the percentage of decisiveness, and which the Hamas movement has reached for the first time, gives a strong indication of the extent of the impact of the Al-Aqsa Flood Battle, and the extent of the popularity enjoyed by the resistance work when it takes its strong and effective form.
Wrapping around resistance:
This poll shows that the ongoing Israeli aggression on the Gaza Strip has failed to break the will of the Palestinian people, and that the massacres committed against civilians and massive destruction have not been able to separate the armed resistance from its popular incubator.
The aggression also had adverse repercussions that increased the Palestinian people’s support for the resistance, the desire to sacrifice and avenge the martyrs increased, and the crimes of the occupation turned into fuel for the revolution and its continuation.
This poll reinforces the general Palestinian trend, which appeared in previous polls, which has lost hope in the path of a peaceful settlement, and has begun to see no real opportunity to achieve the “two-state solution” in light of the escalation of Israeli religious and nationalist extremism, and the expansion of Judaization and settlement programs. They believe that the only language the occupation understands is armed resistance.
This poll strongly, and with increasing frequency, raises the issue of the legitimacy of the current Palestinian leadership, which has lost the confidence of the Palestinian street, as it has become necessary to agree on a transitional leadership to prepare for real elections, to rebuild the Palestinian legislative and executive institutions on fair and sound foundations, and in a way that honestly expresses the will of the Palestinian people.
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