ARAB AND WORLD
Tue 12 Dec 2023 6:38 pm - Jerusalem Time
American public opinion is boiling, but the press does not see the steam. The impact of Gaza war on Biden’s popularity
“American public opinion is boiling, but the press does not see the steam,” as Biden’s popularity declines significantly among his most loyal base, so that the American president appears to be at risk of an electoral disaster due to the loss of youth votes, but what is strange is that the main American media monitors the decline in his popularity, but they underestimate The effect of the Gaza war on the elections seems deliberate.
Reports on opinion poll numbers show that the current US President, Joe Biden, is facing an unprecedented problem, which is the decline in his popularity among young voters, leftists and minorities, especially Muslims, which are the groups that contributed to his victory over former US President Donald Trump, according to a report by the website. the American Real News.
In the 2020 election, Biden's popularity with young voters was about 20 points higher than Trump's; But now, Biden is effectively on par with Trump when it comes to support from young voters in 5 key swing states.
Biden's popularity is declining... This is agreed upon
The headlines are not looking good for the president. The New York Times warned that “Trump is leading in 5 critical states where voters are critical of Biden, as the Times/Siena poll showed.”
The headline of another article published in Politico read: “Biden’s Big Hole, and How to Get Out of It.” Voters' malaise predates Biden's issuance of a blank check for Israel's current war in Gaza, which began after the Hamas-led surprise attack on October 7, and escalated dramatically with Israel's subsequent blockade, invasion and brutal bombing campaign. But the situation has become much worse recently, which has raised alarm bells among donors and party leaders.
But the American media does not ask why
The Real News website says, “Recent reports on bad Biden polls in The New York Times, The Atlantic, CNN, ABC News, New York Magazine, and the Financial Times completely ignore the role of Biden’s support for the Gaza bombing.
None of the surveys mentioned specifically asked respondents about Biden's role in Israel's scorched-earth bombing and Gaza blockade.
This decline in support for the incumbent president is certainly newsworthy in itself, but what could cause so many potential voters to become dissatisfied with Biden?
It tries to focus on broad, traditional issues
The vast majority of mainstream reporting attempts to answer this question by pointing to broader indicators of voter concerns such as election integrity and voting rights, gun policy, crime, immigration, abortion, climate change, and, most vaguely, foreign policy.
What most of these same reports miss is an explanation of the specific role that Joe Biden's support for the massacre in Gaza almost certainly plays in this free fall in support given to him by young voters, progressive voters, and Muslim and Arab voters, according to the American site report.
He ignores that the main reason is the Gaza war, in light of indications of democratic anger
None of the above polls specifically asked respondents how much Biden's popularity with them was affected by his role in Israel's bombing of Gaza, the scorched earth policy, and the blockade of the Strip. Instead, they focused on general issues such as economic distress and perpetual “swinging” issues. These are all impressive enough, but they may not be enough to explain how poorly the president has performed, especially among young voters.
And all this, despite the fact that major indicators indicate that there are real shifts taking place in the base of the Democratic Party.
A March Gallup poll found that “Middle East Democrats now sympathize more with the Palestinians than with the Israelis, 49% to 38%.” A separate Data for Progress poll conducted on October 18-19 found that 80% of Democrats either “strongly agree” or “somewhat agree” with the following statement: “The United States should call for a ceasefire and stop escalating violence in Gaza. The United States must take advantage of its close diplomatic relationship with Israel to prevent further violence and civilian deaths.
However, Biden — and the overwhelming majority of Democrats in Congress — are blatantly not keeping pace with these shifts among their base.
Muslims vowed not to vote for Biden
As NBC News noted, “Muslim and Arab Americans, who overwhelmingly supported Biden in 2020, have threatened not to vote for him next year because of what they say is a lack of US action to stop the killing of Palestinian civilians.”
A new survey of Democrats in Michigan found that his support is declining among Arab Americans, and the state is considered a stronghold for them, and at the same time it is a swing state, and it may play a pivotal role in deciding the elections.
But most reports in the mainstream US media leave one with only a partial picture of what could lead to this “deteriorating” support, but Al Jazeera recently produced a clip depicting the anger and disgust among the Arab Democratic voting base. And Muslims in the swing state of Michigan. It's definitely worth watching, according to the American site.
In a powerful op-ed published in In These Times on October 25, Saqib Bhatti, co-executive director of the Action Center on Race and the Economy, declared unequivocally: “I will not vote for Joe Biden in 2024.” “There are few things as dehumanizing as when a politician you voted for gives the green light to the genocide and deliberate starvation of children who could be your children,” Bhatti wrote. “For many, like me, Gaza is the last straw.”
Even if statisticians and pollsters are not sure that Biden's decline in popularity is due to his policy regarding the Gaza war, and that it is a major factor in the decline in his approval ratings, it is certainly at least a possible factor that deserves some mention, according to the American website.
Ignoring this fact weakens the pressure on the White House to stop the war
The site says that the absence of these points of view from popular media discourse is not an easy matter; It has enormous political consequences.
That the mainstream US media has ignored the fact that Biden's popularity has been damaged by his role in the destruction of Gaza - and his continued support for the killing of thousands of civilians, including large numbers of children - is astonishing, especially when this downside is so easily inferred by almost every poll.
This reduces pressure on the White House, and those in power can view the status quo as politically sustainable.
The American public is deprived of having its voice heard
The problem is that the American public is denied the opportunity to express its opinion about the large-scale massacre that the United States supports while it is taking place. Voting, with all its flaws, can serve as a useful accountability mechanism, and popularity (or lack thereof) can drive public policy decisions.
But it is impossible to record popular anger over Gaza when pollsters do not ask about it, and the American media ignores this when they try to solve the mystery of Biden’s declining popularity among an electoral base that was loyal to him and furthest from Republicans.
The Real News website says that it is unfortunate that politicians are more affected by electoral consequences than by convincing moral arguments or defamation.
The position of the mainstream American media has become untenable, according to the American website, especially since it ignores the escalation of anger led by American youth, and tries to avoid the media monitoring the reality of genocide, denying and discussing the death toll as bodies pile up in the thousands, and in addition to ignoring the attempt to ban the proposed TikTok application. Claiming his support for the Palestinians.
There is a dearth of coverage that takes the anger of an influential segment of the American public seriously as a political force, even as tens of thousands take to the streets, and creative acts of protest are spreading on an astonishing scale across the United States, with landmarks from New York's Grand Central Terminal to downtown Chicago. To the Statue of Liberty, to arms manufacturers, to ports, and to the offices and homes of members of Congress.
The website says that we are witnessing a huge surge in anti-war mobilization, in the United States and abroad, that is difficult to track.
The matter has reached a boiling point and threatens to cause Democrats to lose their base
For those who are paying attention, it is clear that liberal and progressive despair over the rising rate of death and suffering in Gaza has reached a boiling point. The problem is that the powers that be are not listening, and much of the media is working to ensure that the scale of this despair is reduced to zero.
The website adds that any party, organization, or class of political power brokers who do not pay attention to this reality is bound to lose a large portion of their base (referring to the Democratic Party).
As for the press, by insulating the broader public from this apparent emerging dynamic that is driving, at least in part, polls showing Biden's declining popularity, it not only helps mask the political downside of supporting mass killing in Gaza, but potentially prevents any course correction.
Source: Arabic Post
Share your opinion
American public opinion is boiling, but the press does not see the steam. The impact of Gaza war on Biden’s popularity