ARAB AND WORLD
Fri 03 Nov 2023 2:27 pm - Jerusalem Time
Israel awaits Nasrallah’s speech: “If he wanted war, he would have entered it”
Estimates in the Israeli security apparatus are that Nasrallah will be the one who will make the decision regarding the war, after consultations with Iran, and that “Nasrallah fears that the scenes in Gaza will be repeated in Beirut, and he is deterred by the American forces that arrived in the region.”
Israel is awaiting the speech of Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah today, Friday, and is trying to anticipate his position on the war on Gaza and whether Hezbollah will join the war on a large scale.
The belief in the Israeli security apparatus, according to the newspaper "Haaretz", is that Nasrallah is the one who will make the final decision regarding the war with Israel, after consultations with Iran, which views Nasrallah as an expert in Israeli policies, and that "Tehran listens to his advice."
Israel believes that Nasrallah's dilemma is intensified by the picture of the situation on the Lebanese border. “In the first two weeks of the war, its fighters succeeded in targeting Israeli tanks along the border. After that, the Israeli army’s defensive performance improved, and its offensive response was focused. With the help of intelligence capabilities and fire bombardment (air and artillery), a number of cells were intensively targeted, which fired anti-armor shells and rockets. mortar" and suffered casualties of dozens of fighters, according to the newspaper.
The newspaper "Israel Hayom" reported, "The prevailing opinion in the security apparatus is that if Nasrallah wanted war with Israel, he would have entered it. Estimates are that Nasrallah fears that the scenes in Gaza will be repeated in Beirut, and he is deterred by the American forces that are... "I arrived in the area."
It added, "Despite this, and following the lessons of October 7, Israel is preparing according to Hezbollah's capabilities and not according to its intentions. Therefore, the Israeli army has greatly strengthened its forces along the border, and the Air Force is in a very high state of readiness and alert to confront possible developments in the north."
In anticipation of the expansion of the Gaza war: a large American and Western military deployment in the region
While the Houthis in Yemen opened a partial front against Israel, launching ballistic missiles and explosive drones, all of which Israel has so far intercepted, they are wondering in Israel whether the war on Gaza will expand into a regional war.
According to the Israeli media, an analysis of the considerations of the parties to the war seems to indicate that Iran and Hezbollah are wary, also due to the large American military presence in the region and the threats made by US President Joe Biden to Iran. Despite this, the bet remains high against the backdrop of the possibility of a greater escalation in the war on Gaza, which is already destroyed and afflicted.
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Israel awaits Nasrallah’s speech: “If he wanted war, he would have entered it”