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OPINIONS

Sun 14 May 2023 11:14 am - Jerusalem Time

Will Israel change the existing equation in the Gaza Strip?

For the current round of aggression on the Gaza front, it may be the seventh since 2008 between war and escalation, and in each round there is talk of a truce or calm, and Israel says that it has achieved its goals despite being subjected to dozens and sometimes hundreds of missiles being fired at the towns surrounding Gaza and its main cities, and the same thing. As for the resistance factions, which always talk about their victory, even though more than four thousand martyrs and thousands of wounded fell during these confrontations, and destruction and destruction of the infrastructure without liberating even one inch of Palestine or lifting the siege on Gaza. They also continue to develop their missile capabilities and officially declare their hostility to Israel and their rejection of the peace process. .


Despite the passage of years of this situation, Israel deals with a long-term policy with the factions in Gaza and is patient with the missiles it is exposed to that harm its deterrence force. It justifies this by saying that the continuation of Hamas rule in Gaza serves Israel strategically by perpetuating the division and separation between Gaza and the West Bank and making it legitimate A Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza, with Jerusalem as its capital, is impossible to achieve, and this is what Netanyahu repeated more than once in his response to his opponents in the government, such as Ben Gvir. Also, this situation in Gaza diverts attention from its real battle over the West Bank and Jerusalem to complete its settlement projects.


The question that comes to mind: How long will the next equation in Gaza last after the peace process stops and the majority of the West Bank and Jerusalem are under Israeli control? And if Israel is betting on neutralizing Hamas from the arena of confrontation with the economic and financial facilities it has enabled it to do, is there any guarantee that the situation will continue as it is, especially after the departure/expulsion of the majority of Hamas leaders from the Muslim Brotherhood who participated in creating division from the Gaza Strip? And how long will the racist Zionist entity, led by a right-wing, racist, terrorist, extremist government, be patient with the development of the resistance factions in Gaza, especially the Jihad movement for its missile capabilities and the absence of security and safety, at a time when this entity threatens to strike Iran and seeks a Jewish state that extends from the Nile to the Euphrates and boasts that it is the greatest state in the East Middle? How long will Hamas rule remain stable and the power equation in Gaza not change?


We recall these questions while we are witnessing the current round of escalation. Although Israel knew that the Islamic Jihad would respond to the assassination of its three leaders at dawn on Tuesday, the ninth of May, by firing missiles, yet it did so and continues to carry out assassinations and rejects any truce, and this raises questions about Israel's goals. from this process?


We believe that Israel's goals are not only the assassination of the leaders of the jihad, and not only for internal calculations, whether to appease Ben Gvir and Smotrich, who want to deal harshly with Hamas and Gaza, or Netanyahu's attempt to divert attention from his internal crisis and accusations of corruption against him. Rather, it has long-term strategic goals, including: an attempt to create Sedition and civil war inside the Strip between the Jihad movement and Hamas, and the matter may come to the threat of Hamas to target its leaders if the Islamic Jihad does not stop firing rockets and end its armed presence in the Strip or absorb it under its authority, and perhaps Israel hopes for a discord between the Jihad movement and the people in betting that the people will revolt against the Jihad movement He holds her responsible for his suffering if the crossings continue to be closed and the normal course of life is disrupted.


However, because the success of Netanyahu's plan to create internal strife is uncertain, the enemy may seek to change the existing equation in the Gaza Strip by ending Hamas' functional role and creating a new reality in the Strip, especially if Hamas participates in the confrontation, and in this context, Hamas movement is in a difficult situation if it does not participate in the war. It will lose its credibility internally, as it will lose Iranian support and funding, and if it enters the war, its authority and leadership will be exposed to a strong reaction from Israel.


Away from the intimidation and exaggeration of some satellite channels and the political and security analysts they host and the strategists of the capabilities of the resistance and its achievement of a balance of deterrence and terror with Israel and what the resistance's missiles can achieve by forcing the enemy to submit to the conditions of resistance and the conditions of Islamic jihad as well, with our respect to the political analysts who aim to raise the morale of the people and the fighters And with our appreciation for the heroism of the fighters in the Jihad movement and all the resistance factions in all parts of Palestine....we have to recall the experience of previous wars, where thousands of rockets were fired at Israel and everyone knows the result, and therefore we wish the Islamic Jihad movement to stop firing rockets even without conditions because the battle It is not its battle alone with Israel, and it is not the battle of Gaza with Israel, but rather the battle of all Palestinians, even if those targeted for assassination are from the Jihad movement.


We hope that the confrontation will stop as soon as possible, because the Zionist enemy may resort to prolonging the war to call for international intervention and the stationing of international forces on the Gaza borders, and thus the borders of Gaza with Israel will be demarcated in preparation for declaring the Palestinian state within the framework of the two-state solution that the international community demands. Gaza to its final stage, and we do not want the Islamic Jihad movement to appear as part of this scheme.

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Will Israel change the existing equation in the Gaza Strip?