A Pivotal Historical Stage Determining the Future of the Middle East

Since the beginning of this new year 2026, everyone has been following the rapid developments, specifically in the Iranian scene, starting with the outbreak of widespread demonstrations that spread from the bazaar merchants in most Iranian cities. The demonstrators, including the youth, have overcome the barrier of fear with broad demands for the overthrow of the current Iranian regime, represented by Ali Khamenei, who was targeted and martyred along with some members of the Iranian regime, following a preemptive joint Israeli-American strike that marked the beginning of the war after the failure of the Geneva talks between the two parties. The primary goal of this war on Iran is to overthrow the Mullahs' regime, end Iran's nuclear power, destroy ballistic missile platforms, and eliminate Iran's proxy wars in the Arab East, namely Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen, Iran's arms represented by Hezbollah.

On February 3, 2026, with the appearance of the Blood Moon amidst all the war explosions in the region, the rare red moon's appearance portends an ominous event and pivotal historical developments on our planet, including wars and unrest. The war intensifies on several fronts: Israel strikes Hezbollah strongholds in southern Lebanon, targeting military and economic infrastructure (Al-Qard Al-Hasan buildings), and on the Iranian front, the war escalates, and missiles fly, igniting the sky with the fire of Iranian missiles and drones that targeted several American bases in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, and Jordan, in parallel with joint Israeli-American strikes on multiple sites in Iran. It is noteworthy that Iran, under the pretext of targeting American bases in the Middle East, shifted its targets and began targeting residential structures and hotels in Dubai, Bahrain, and Qatar, and targeting Aramco oil refineries in Saudi Arabia. It seems that Iran, before its regime falls, wants to ignite the Arab region, especially the Gulf states, and expand the scope of the war with the aim of destabilizing governance in these countries and seeking to weaken the safe and economically, touristically, and politically prosperous Gulf states, which are characterized by safety and security. Unfortunately, with all these missiles burning in the sky of the Arabian Gulf, it will inevitably lead to the withdrawal of many global investors and the relocation of their money to safer and more stable places, especially if Iranian missiles and drones continue to target tourist and residential facilities in the Arabian Gulf. Here, the mask falls, and the true intentions towards neighboring Arab countries to Iran are revealed, and it seems that there are hidden goals, possibly seeking to overthrow some regimes in the Arabian Gulf, as the core of the war expands and seeks to burn everything, and its fragments reveal the hidden aspects of the Persian-Arab conflict, especially the sectarian Shiite-Sunni rift, and ultimately its basis is the monopolization of power and its replacement, for example, Bahrain and the majority of the Shiite component in it, and the endeavor to destabilize security there. And here, why was the bridge connecting Saudi Arabia to Bahrain struck? It seems that Iranian missiles and drones are directed more towards Arab countries instead of liberating Jerusalem! And striking the Great Satan, as they claim. Iran's striking of oil facilities in the Gulf and Saudi Arabia certainly aims to weaken the economy of the Gulf oil and energy states, and this is very clear from Iran's endeavor to close the Strait of Hormuz, through which 30% of the world's energy resources pass, meaning an attempt to influence global energy prices, not to mention disrupting and economically striking energy facilities in the Arabian Gulf, and this is represented in disrupting data centers and vital facilities such as transportation, airports, the tourism sector, hotels, and shipping.

In the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, amidst sirens, missiles, and their burning flames, burning and falling over the Kingdom's land, penetrating and destroying homes and injuring citizens, Jordan stated that (Iranian missiles are not passing through but are targeting Jordanian territories). Wheat silos survived a cyberattack, which was repelled, and it was noted that a number of Iranian missile attacks on Jordan and Saudi Arabia were launched by the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, which claimed responsibility for these drone attacks. Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi also stated (Iran must respect Jordan's sovereignty and not violate our airspace. There are Iranian aggressions against the Kingdom and against our brothers in the Gulf states. Everyone's security is a red line). This military escalation has become not a fleeting event in regional political calculations but a fundamental factor in determining energy stability and global navigation security, and the Arab East faces rapidly escalating developments that complicate the scene and risk expanding the flame of war in the countries of the Arab East and threaten the region with sliding into a regional war, God forbid.

It seems that there is no hope of stopping the escalation and de-escalating matters through diplomatic negotiations. It seems that whoever decides the war with military force will draw the new maps of influence, as the US Secretary of War stated that military operations against Iran have rapidly achieved their goals, and full control over Iranian airspace has been achieved, and success has been achieved in controlling maritime passages, as 17 Iranian ships in the Arabian Gulf were destroyed, and about 2000 targets were bombed, including nuclear, military, and missile facilities, and several command headquarters of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. It has become clear after the Israeli and American strikes on Iranian ballistic missile weapons that the intensity of missiles and drones has decreased, especially those that were targeting American bases in several Arab countries. The American goal is to uproot the Mullahs' regime, not just the military force but the structural power of the regime, including the Revolutionary Guard, Basij, police, and the structure of the current parliament with all its leaders, as they constitute and support the power of the current regime. For this reason, Trump stated that this war could be long. There is also a fundamental element in this battle between America and Israel against Iran: most of the ballistic missiles launched by Iran are supplied by China within strong economic relations between them, where China obtains 90% of its oil needs from Iran at preferential prices, thirty percent (30%) less than the global oil price, and China has invested in Iran about 400 billion in exchange for 25-year contracts in Iranian infrastructure investments, specifically financing Iran's proxy wars in the Middle East, where Iran regains its current military, missile, and technological power from China. The current American war against Iran is an internal war between America and China and its influence, as Trump seeks to impose a new Middle East, and with the overthrow of the current Mullahs' regime in Iran, it means reducing China's influence in its military support for current Iran, which has managed proxy wars in the Arab East, and Trump also seeks to impose a new world. Trump's policy will certainly affect the weakening of the Iranian-Chinese-Russian alliance and the economy of the BRICS countries that seek to weaken the power of the dollar and replace it with the new currency through which global oil will be purchased.

I believe that if these wars prolong, they will certainly affect the economies of some Arab countries and also the Gulf states, not to mention Iran's endeavor to dominate the influence of some of these countries, especially those with a Shiite majority, such as Bahrain, meaning the exacerbation of the war and conflict between Persians and Arabs and Iran's endeavor to destabilize the sovereignty of some Arab countries. This battle is pivotal, especially if America manages to change the rules of the game in the Middle East and achieve Trump's goal of making Iran great again, and now seeks to change the situation from within Iran and ally with and support the Kurdish opposition and arm it to change the balance of power on the ground in Iran (thousands of Kurds today are launching a ground attack in Iran), and the Ahwazis are also preparing for the battle to liberate Ahwaz from the Iranians.