OPINIONS
Sat 15 Apr 2023 11:18 am - Jerusalem Time
Will the Saudi-Iranian agreement continue?
After the restoration of Iranian-Saudi diplomatic relations, confusion within Israel appears in the face of dwindling opportunities to promote normalization between Tel Aviv and Riyadh.
The Saudi-American relations deteriorated after the advent of the Democrats, as Saudi Arabia began to look at its security, military and economic interests in light of the regional and international changes, in addition to strengthening the vision of the dimensions of the threats around it, the first of which is the Iranian threat that was planted by the American and Israeli media.
Since the Saudi and Iranian agreement will achieve Saudi gains in regional files in the region, but will the agreement continue if changes occur in the region?
The Israeli position regarding the Saudi and Iranian agreement was not officially demonstrated by Netanyahu, as most of his statements were against the Iranian threat, without mentioning the repercussions of the Saudi and Iranian agreement on Israel.
However, the Israeli opposition was able to use the agreement in the framework of the political attack on Netanyahu, as Lapid indicated that the agreement represents a complete failure and a danger to Israeli foreign policy, and that this is considered the collapse of the regional defense wall that was built against Iran.
The opposition also pointed out that the agreement is a complete failure for Israel due to the internal division and Netanyahu's inability to solve his internal and security problems. The opposition considered that the division is one of the reasons for the Arab countries' tendency to strengthen their alliances within the new regional and international changes away from Israel.
This matter has repercussions for Israel, as it was concerned with promoting normalization and forming an Arab-American-Israeli army alliance against Iran, but the Saudi and Iranian agreement led to the retraction of this step, and instead of imposing a blockade on Iran by Israel and America, it has now become a blockade on Israel after the end of the hypothesis The Iranian "bogeyman" in the region.
The agreement will contribute to solving the problems of the region, the first of which is Yemen, then Syria, then Iraq. This is what Israel does not want, as it was concerned with keeping wars going on in the region to consolidate Israel's hegemony in the region.
The agreement changed all international calculations, as it constituted a shift in the geopolitical equation in the Middle East region and the reintegration of Iran after being economically besieged, which made the Iranian threat to Israel more present and focused.
Not only that, the Israeli concern is not only from Iran, but also from China, America's only competitor in the region, as China's success in crystallizing the Saudi and Iranian agreement means that it has a security and political impact in addition to the economic dimension, and the continuation of the agreement depends on the extent of the commitment of the two parties and the extent of China's ability Influencing the continuation of the agreement, specifically that America has now become clear that the deep state wants to bring back Trump, and this means that Saudi-American relations may return to normal, and the return of relations means re-introducing the idea of Saudi-Israeli normalization.
Trump's trial sessions sparked widespread controversy in political circles in American society in particular that Trump indicated that the court whose members are from the Democratic Party is politicized, which made Trump's Republican supporters began to mobilize financial and media support in favor of Trump until opinion polls (TG) came out and indicated Until Trump's popularity among Republicans and independents reached (56) percent, while the (YouGaf) poll showed that his popularity reached (52) percent, just as the US Constitution does not hinder an individual's candidacy for the presidency, even if he is accused of several files.
Trump’s return will restore different calculations from the current situation, so will the Saudi and Iranian agreement remain, or will Saudi Arabia seek to focus on its interests and use the policy of holding the stick from the middle to protect its security, geopolitical and economic interests? Specifically, Saudi Arabia has become fully aware that Israel is interested in aggravating the Arab-Israeli conflict, and America wants to manage the conflict, while China wants to end the conflict with a diplomatic solution.
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Will the Saudi-Iranian agreement continue?