OPINIONS
Fri 02 Aug 2024 9:28 am - Jerusalem Time
Netanyahu returned from America unbridled, supported internationally and his popularity increased domestically
Netanyahu returned from the United States after his scandalous speech, which contained lies in every paragraph of it. But the most scandalous thing was the warm reception he received from members of Congress, who gave him a standing ovation, in support of the lies contained in his speech.
What Netanyahu understood from the position of the members of Congress (in the absence of 140 members) is that he received American allegiance to him, despite the crimes of genocide against civilians, war crimes, violations of international law and humanitarian laws, and contempt for all the highest values agreed upon in international relations.
What Netanyahu understood from that pledge of allegiance was not limited to the past, during the past ten months in the Gaza Strip, the West Bank, Jerusalem, and Lebanon, but also included what is coming in terms of policies and decisions. This was reflected before the end of his visit, as he received support from Biden, Harris, Trump, and others, which encouraged him to escalate tensions in Lebanon against Hezbollah, as well as in the Gaza Strip against Hamas, and also against Iran.
So what should be understood from the assassination of the great military leader, martyr Fouad Shukr, in the heart of the Beirut suburb? What does this mean in terms of a serious violation of the rules of engagement with Hezbollah? What will be the response to this operation? Can we expect a similar strike in Haifa, Tel Aviv, or anywhere deep inside the Zionist entity?
What does it mean to assassinate the head of Hamas’s political bureau, the martyr leader Ismail Haniyeh, during an official visit to Tehran? This assassination constitutes a criminal assault on Iran’s sovereignty, which prompts Iran to respond with a similar, if not more severe, response.
What does Netanyahu mean when he orders the bombing of sites in Iraq and Syria, in addition to issuing an order to assassinate journalists Ismail al-Ghoul and photographer Rami al-Rifi? Thus, the number of journalists who have been assassinated to date has risen to more than 160 martyred journalists?
The answer to all these questions is that Netanyahu returned from America unbridled, after he considered that he had become more supported internationally than before, and that his popularity had been strengthened domestically after his speech was met with support from Congress and American leaders.
This means that Netanyahu's decision is heading towards escalation at all levels, including the war of human extermination inside Gaza, as well as the war in Lebanon and at the regional level, including the harassment of Iran, which indicates the possibility of going to a regional war.
This means that the escalating military and political situation is entering a new phase, different, even higher than before. So what can be expected in response to the bombing of the heart of the Beirut suburb, to assassinate a senior Hezbollah commander, whom the Israeli statement considered the Chief of Staff and the second man in Hezbollah? It is expected that the response will come from Hezbollah deep within the entity, just as the strike was in the suburb, which represents the depth of the resistance.
The question is: What will be the occupation’s response to that response? Thus, things escalate towards a cycle of mutual responses.
This means that the bloody Netanyahu, who has lost his mind, no longer sees a way out of prison, or no longer sees a response to the resistance and its supporters, other than war and its continuation, reaching the highest levels of escalation.
This applies to the response to the assassination of the martyr leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, all the way to the assassination of the two martyr journalists, Ismail al-Ghoul and Rami al-Rifi.
This is what Netanyahu, who has lost his temper, wants to go for, unless he is confronted with counter-pressures on the ground, pressures from world public opinion, and international pressures, which must be wary of the danger of Netanyahu returning from America.
It should be noted that what Netanyahu has taken - direct attacks on Hezbollah, and on Hamas by assassinating the martyr leader Ismail Haniyeh in Iran (and here the emphasis should be on Iran) - came within an equation that will require a response.
For example, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah considers Tel Aviv to be the opposite of Dahiyeh, which means that Netanyahu's decision is intended to be a response to Tel Aviv. This is to launch a corresponding escalation. On the other hand, if he is not confronted with the expected strike, for any reason, or for any embarrassing maneuver for him, his response will be more persistence and escalation. Because the goal for him has become changing the current equation in which he is losing, through escalation. In other words, Netanyahu's decision is going to escalate in any case.
The same applies to provoking Iran, by deliberately assassinating the martyr leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. This was after establishing rules of engagement with Iran, which were decided upon in response and counter-response, which ended in Iran’s interest, and by adopting an equation for the rules of engagement.
Thus, the assassination in Tehran came with the aim of changing the rules of engagement with Iran, just as it is similar, with the difference, to changing the rules of engagement with Hezbollah. Hence, Netanyahu wants the Iranian response to come, allowing for a corresponding escalation. Netanyahu has decided to escalate, however the response comes.
This requires the world, which does not want to be dragged into a regional war, to move forcefully to deter the nerve-racking man who has lost his temper after his visit to America.
However, this determination on Netanyahu's part, in each case, does not mean that he will succeed. On the contrary, this escalation, whether it is thwarted or runs its course, the balance of power confirms that it will lead to further failure for Netanyahu. Rather, it is most likely that going to a regional war threatens the occupation with a major setback, if it does not put its existence into question.
Netanyahu is not moving within an equation of the global balance of power in his favor, despite the support he has received from Congress and American leaders. This is at a time when America itself has entered into a dead end and internal confusion, as the conflict between Republicans and Democrats expresses, especially if the results of the presidential elections do not favor Trump, or if they do favor him, and he is challenging the deep state and will clash with it.
This is also the case on both the regional and Palestinian levels, as the balance of power is not in the occupation’s favor. Otherwise, how do we explain the war that has been going on for ten months in Gaza? How do we explain Netanyahu’s loss of temper, his confusion, and his insistence on escalation?
In a word, it is true that Netanyahu has received support from Congress, but he faces a balance of power that is not in his favor at all levels. That is why defeats await him, and tomorrow is near.
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Netanyahu returned from America unbridled, supported internationally and his popularity increased domestically