Awni Al-Mashni: The central goal of the war was not only related to Hamas's weapons or military capabilities, but rather to creating conditions that lead to displacement from Gaza
Samer Anabtawi: The issue of displacement is still strongly present within the political mindset of the Israeli government, with the aim of reducing the Palestinian presence in the Strip
Daoud Kuttab: The crisis of food and medicine shortages and the spread of diseases in the Strip comes within a systematic policy based on tightening the siege and weakening the ability of residents to survive
Suleiman Bisharat: The continuation of crimes against the residents of the Strip carries political, social, and economic dimensions to exhaust Palestinian society, leaving it fragile and susceptible to influence and control
Adnan Al-Sabah: The ceasefire agreement is a political deception aimed at moving Palestinians from the horrors of direct war to a stage of internal societal exhaustion
Labib Taha: Exiting the current crisis requires a genuine Palestinian consensus based on a comprehensive national program, dealing realistically with the transformations after October 7th
Ramallah - Exclusive to "Al-Quds"-
Amidst the ongoing Israeli war on the Gaza Strip, the scene of humanitarian tragedy deepens and becomes more complex day after day, with continued bombing and siege and the decline of basic necessities of life in various areas of the Strip, amidst fears that this comes within the context of the primary goal of the war, which is displacement.
Writers and political analysts, in separate interviews with "Al-Quds", believe that Israel, through its current policies, seeks to keep Gaza in a state of permanent exhaustion, by deepening humanitarian and economic crises and imposing a reality that limits the ability of Palestinians to steadfastness and stability, noting that the war is no longer only related to military confrontation, but has become part of a broader political and regional equation in which security and influence calculations, and the future of the Palestinian issue and the region, intertwine.
In parallel, the suffering of civilians is escalating with the expansion of poverty, displacement, and shortages of food, medicine, and basic services, amidst warnings of serious repercussions on the social and economic structure of the Strip. Calls are also rising for more effective Palestinian, Arab, and international action to stop the war, and to unite political and humanitarian efforts to save Gaza from an open crisis with no clear horizon.
Attempts to push for displacement
Writer and political analyst Awni Al-Mashni believes that the ongoing Israeli war on the Gaza Strip has not yet, from the Israeli perspective, achieved its true goals, pointing out that the continuation of bombing, siege, starvation, and military operations is primarily linked to an attempt to impose a new reality based on pushing Palestinians towards displacement and removing the Hamas movement from the political and military scene.
According to Al-Mashni, the Israeli reading of the war is based on the premise that the objectives of the military operation have not been fully achieved, explaining that the central goal of the war was not only related to Hamas's weapons or military capabilities, but rather to creating conditions that lead to the displacement of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip, either completely or to the minimum possible extent that allows for demographic and political change in the Strip.
Al-Mashni points out that Israel, despite realizing the difficulty of achieving comprehensive displacement of Palestinians, still seeks to utilize various war tools to achieve the greatest possible extent of this goal, by continuing to restrict residents, escalating killing and bombing operations, and deepening the humanitarian catastrophe that the Strip has been experiencing since the beginning of the war.
Al-Mashni explains that the second factor explaining the continuation of the war is Israel's endeavor to end the political and military existence of the Hamas movement, noting that the failure of this goal and the movement's continued presence and cohesion, despite the extent of destruction and siege, has caused the war to enter a state of open attrition without a clear resolution.
Al-Mashni links what is happening in Gaza to broader regional developments, considering that the war in the Strip cannot be separated from the ongoing conflict in the region, whether in Lebanon or Iran, explaining that there is a common denominator in Israeli policies based on trying to end what is known as the "axis of resistance" through the issue of "disarmament."
Al-Mashni points out that Israeli and American pressures take multiple forms in different arenas. In Lebanon, the issue of Hezbollah's weapons stands out, in Iran, pressures related to military and armament capabilities are prominent, and in Gaza, the demand for disarming the resistance is repeated, considering that this interconnectedness confirms that the war on the Strip is not isolated from the general regional scene.
Israel and the dilemma of not achieving goals
Al-Mashni believes that Israel faces a real dilemma in achieving its goals, noting that Hezbollah in Lebanon has managed to create field surprises that disrupted Israeli calculations, and Iran has shown, during recent confrontations, an ability to withstand and maneuver, while the Hamas movement in Gaza has managed to continue for more than two years despite the siege, widespread destruction, and genocide operations.
Al-Mashni emphasizes that the future of Gaza is directly linked to the results of the regional conflict as a whole, stressing that any settlement or solution in the Strip will not be separate from the outcomes of the broader confrontation in the region.
Absence of an effective Arab role
Regarding ways to stop the massacres and the worsening humanitarian situation, Al-Mashni believes that the fundamental crisis lies in the absence of an effective Arab role, in addition to the state of internal Palestinian division, explaining that the Arab world has become weak in influencing the issues of Lebanon, Gaza, and the Gulf, at a time when the Palestinian arena suffers from political division and internal tensions.
Al-Mashni stresses that stopping the war and ending the humanitarian tragedy in Gaza require an Arab stance that supports a unified Palestinian position, based on a political vision and unified Palestinian leadership, emphasizing that the absence of these two factors constitutes the core of the current crisis and gives the occupation an opportunity to continue its policies within the Strip.
Reshaping Palestinian reality
Writer and political analyst Samer Anabtawi believes that the continuation of Israeli crimes in the Gaza Strip confirms that the occupation has not stopped its war on the Strip, nor has it retreated from its political and military goals related to the Palestinian issue and the region in general, considering that what is happening in Gaza comes within a broader plan aimed at reshaping Palestinian reality and imposing new facts on the ground.
Anabtawi explains that the ongoing Israeli military operations, including targeting and assassinations and preventing the entry of basic materials, in addition to expanding what is known as the "yellow zone" and strengthening security dominance, reflect the continuation of the occupation's policy based on transforming the Gaza Strip into an "unlivable environment," by restricting residents and pushing them towards emigration and leaving their land.
Anabtawi points out that the assassinations and targeting that occurred in recent days represent a clear violation of the ceasefire agreement, stressing that the occupation has not even committed to implementing the first phase of the agreement, which reflects the absence of any real Israeli intention to move to subsequent stages of calm or political solutions.
Anabtawi notes that the issue of displacement is still strongly present within the political mindset of the Israeli government, and that the primary goal is to reduce the Palestinian presence in the Gaza Strip and push residents to leave, pointing out that the occupation is trying to use groups linked to it to contribute to restricting citizens within the Strip.
The pretext of disarmament
Anabtawi explains that Israel continues to justify its policies by linking all measures to the issue of resistance weapons, even though it has not withdrawn from the Strip and has not stopped its aggression, and at the same time demands disarmament, considering that this argument is used as a pretext for the continuation of military operations and punitive measures against the residents.
Anabtawi confirms that the occupation imposes strict restrictions on the entry of food and basic materials, despite understandings and agreements that specify the permitted quantities, pointing out that the process of introducing aid is practically subject to "Israeli mood," and there are also significant restrictions on the movement of patients who urgently need treatment abroad.
Anabtawi notes that Israel also obstructs the work of the technocrat committee responsible for managing the Gaza Strip, and does not allow it to enter or carry out its duties, in addition to disrupting any roles for the so-called "Peace Council" proposed by US President Donald Trump, considering that these policies aim to undermine any political or administrative project that could serve as an entry point for a solution or reconstruction.
Possibility of escalating targeting of Gaza
Regarding potential scenarios, Anabtawi suggests an escalation of targeting operations in the Gaza Strip, which may lead to a return of direct military confrontation, given the Palestinians' feeling of a lack of other options, warning that this will lead to more destruction and humanitarian suffering.
Anabtawi points out that the occupation is exploiting the world's preoccupation with the regional war and its repercussions to pass displacement projects in Gaza and the West Bank, calling for more serious Arab, Islamic, and international action, especially from the guarantor states of the agreement, to pressure the United States to compel Israel to implement what was agreed upon.
Anabtawi stresses the need to strengthen the unified Palestinian position towards the Gaza Strip, stop internal squabbles, and work on formulating a comprehensive Palestinian discourse aimed at supporting the steadfastness of the residents, and pressuring for the entry of aid, basic materials, and funds necessary for the reconstruction of the Strip.
A form of collective punishment
Writer and political analyst Daoud Kuttab emphasizes that the continuous Israeli policies in the Gaza Strip represent, according to international law, a clear form of collective punishment prohibited under the Geneva Conventions, affirming that the occupation has continued since 1967 to evade its legal obligations related to the protection of civilians during wars and armed conflicts.
Kuttab explains that the Fourth Geneva Convention explicitly stipulates the protection of civilian populations and criminalizes the policy of collective punishment, but Israel practically refuses to adhere to these standards, and Israeli courts do not exert any real pressure to force successive governments to respect the rules of international humanitarian law.
Israel does not distinguish between civilians and combatants
Kuttab points out that Israel deals with Palestinians as a single bloc without distinguishing between civilians and combatants, which allows it, from its point of view, to justify military measures, collective siege, and restrictions on residents under security pretexts, which has led to the exacerbation of the humanitarian catastrophe in the Gaza Strip.
Kuttab explains that the crisis of food and medicine shortages and the spread of diseases in the Strip are not side effects of the war, but rather come within a systematic policy based on tightening the siege and weakening the ability of residents to survive, noting that the entry of food and medicines through traders who pay large sums to what he described as "war merchants" has made the prices of basic goods beyond the reach of ordinary families.
Kuttab believes that this reality has created a state of sharp disparity within Gazan society, where access to food and medicine has become linked to financial ability, at a time when the majority of families suffer from loss of income sources and the collapse of economic and living conditions.
Kuttab calls on Palestinian officials to continue political and media action to demand an end to the siege openly and continuously, and also calls on civil society organizations to intensify popular and human rights pressure, holding the international community responsible for acting to compel Israel to abide by international treaties related to the protection of civilians and to stop policies that increase the suffering of the residents of the Gaza Strip.
Keeping the Gaza front open
Writer and political analyst Suleiman Bisharat confirms that the continuation of Israeli crimes in the Gaza Strip, amidst the worsening humanitarian conditions, the spread of diseases, and food shortages, reflects an Israeli trend based on keeping the Gaza front open and active, and not allowing stability to return to the Strip at the current stage, considering that Gaza is still – from the Israeli perspective – part of a broader regional equation linked to the future of the Palestinian issue and the arrangements of the Middle East.
Bisharat explains that Israel fought its war on the Gaza Strip within the concept of the "New Middle East," and therefore its vision towards the Strip is inseparable from the rest of the open regional files, whether related to Iran or the northern front with Lebanon or the form of new political alliances in the region.
Bisharat points out that Israel links any potential stability in Gaza to the outcomes of these files, which makes war, or the state of "no war and no peace," a continuous and existing option for it.
Bisharat indicates that the Israeli occupation seeks to exploit the time factor to impose new realities on the ground, by consolidating its military control over large areas of the Strip, which allows it to reshape the political equation for the future of Gaza.
Bisharat notes that Israel is working, according to this perception, to establish a reality that may include the continuation of military occupation for a long period, and perhaps the return of settlements to the Strip, citing the occupation's attempt to maintain control over between 50 to 60 percent of Gaza's area.
Preventing Palestinians from possessing a geographically connected entity
Bisharat explains that the Israeli vision is also based on preventing Palestinians from possessing any geographically connected political entity that could form the nucleus of an integrated Palestinian political system, clarifying that Israel, even if a ceasefire is reached in its current form, does not want to grant Palestinians a stable geographical area capable of political and administrative life.
Bisharat affirms that the continuation of crimes against the residents of the Strip is not only related to military objectives, but also carries political, social, and economic dimensions, aimed at exhausting Palestinian society and weakening its capabilities and economic and social structure, so that it remains fragile and susceptible to future influence and control according to the Israeli vision.
Exhausting Palestinian energies
Bisharat points out that the continuous state of instability leads to the exhaustion of Palestinian energies and the depletion of the economy, income, and infrastructure, in addition to targeting the environment that supports Palestinian resistance, considering that Israel seeks through this to prevent the re-formation of any Palestinian force that might represent a future threat to it from the Gaza Strip.
Regarding potential scenarios, Bisharat suggests that the Gaza file will remain open unless the Israeli vision related to the war on Iran and the northern front with Lebanon, in addition to Israel's project in the West Bank, becomes clear, considering that this scenario is the most likely in the current stage.
Bisharat points to another scenario, which is the possibility of reaching a comprehensive political deal involving the United States, Iran, and a number of regional countries, which could later open the door for formulating a new vision for the future of the Gaza Strip, but he stresses that this path is still unclear in its features and results, and may require a long time to mature politically.
Political deception
Writer and political analyst Adnan Al-Sabah explains that what has been promoted since the ceasefire agreement in October last year was nothing but a "political deception" aimed at moving Palestinians from the horrors of direct war to a more dangerous stage based on siege, starvation, and the internal exhaustion of Palestinian society, warning that the continuation of the current reality is leading the Strip to further collapse, chaos, and internal conflict.
Al-Sabah points out that the political moves that accompanied the "Trump plan," along with international decisions and agreements that were signed in a celebratory atmosphere, did not succeed in actually stopping the war, but rather contributed to reshaping its tools, so that it shifted from widespread bombing and direct massacres to a policy based on the gradual strangulation of the population through siege and preventing basic necessities of life.
Decline in the presence of the Palestinian issue
Al-Sabah notes that the war on Iran and the accompanying regional escalation in Lebanon and the region led to a decline in the presence of the Palestinian issue, especially what is happening in Gaza, from the forefront of international and media attention, stressing that many international media outlets have begun to treat the Strip as a marginal issue, while the world has been preoccupied with new crises and accelerating regional tensions.
Al-Sabah explained that the occupation, since that stage, has adopted a different policy in managing the war on Gaza, based on continuous bombing and shelling, in addition to deepening the siege, starvation, thirst, and expanding the circle of disease and homelessness, as well as targeting police elements and agencies that could contribute to a minimum of internal stability.
A permanent state of insecurity, chaos, and fear
Al-Sabah affirms that these policies aim to keep Palestinian society in a permanent state of insecurity, chaos, and fear, pointing out that the occupation also works to encourage groups and gangs within the Strip to carry out actions that would undermine social cohesion, weaken resistance, and confuse citizens.
Al-Sabah believes that the ultimate goal of these measures is to push Palestinians, under the pressure of hunger, fear, and harsh humanitarian conditions, to accept the political dictates imposed on them, stressing that the continuation of international isolation and global preoccupation with other issues will give the occupation more space to implement its projects and prolong the crisis.
Restoring unity and strengthening internal cohesion
Al-Sabah warns that the next stage may witness an escalation in the state of internal Palestinian conflict if the current conditions continue, as the occupation seeks to create a reality of divisions and internal confrontations that weaken the Palestinian issue and give Israel additional time to consolidate its policies on the ground.
Al-Sabah emphasizes that confronting these dangers requires restoring Palestinian national unity and strengthening internal cohesion, in addition to rebuilding Arab, Islamic, and international solidarity with Gaza and the Palestinian issue, stressing that the absence of a unified Palestinian position will lead to a "real catastrophe" that threatens the Palestinian people and their national cause.
The occupation has become "unrestrained"
Writer and political analyst Labib Taha explains that the continuation of Israeli crimes against Palestinians in the Gaza Strip is primarily due to the absence of any force capable of deterring Israel or imposing costs on it, whether militarily, economically, or politically, pointing out that the occupation has become "unrestrained" in Palestine and the region, which has allowed the continuation of killing, destruction, and genocide without anything to limit or stop it.
Taha affirms that the war of extermination on the Gaza Strip has not ended yet, but only its pace has changed, noting that the people of the Strip have entered a "maze" that does not seem to have a near end in the absence of real indications of the imminent end of the escalating humanitarian tragedy.
Regional and international preoccupation with other issues
Taha stresses that regional and international preoccupation with other issues has contributed to the decline of interest in what is happening in Gaza, explaining that the United States is preoccupied with other regional issues, most notably the Iranian file, while Arab countries suffer from their internal crises, which has been reflected in the extent of political action towards the war.
Taha believes that exiting the current crisis requires a genuine Palestinian consensus based on a comprehensive national program aimed at ending the occupation and getting rid of the effects of destruction and war, calling for a realistic approach to the political and geopolitical transformations that the region has witnessed after October 7, 2023.
Significant change in the world and the region
Taha points out that the world and the region have changed significantly, and the priorities of international and regional powers are no longer as they were before, which necessitates a review of Palestinian political discourse and national work mechanisms, away from adhering to traditional slogans or prioritizing factional and personal interests over the supreme national interest.
He affirms that the continuation of internal Palestinian division serves multiple parties that benefit from the continuation of the status quo, explaining that Israel is among the most prominent beneficiaries of the state of Palestinian fragmentation and conflicting internal political programs.
Taha points to the existence of parties and groups within Gaza that benefit from the continuation of the crisis, including traders, monopolists, and other parties, considering that the intertwining of interests and the continuation of the state of division contribute to prolonging the humanitarian tragedy experienced by citizens in the Strip for years, under unprecedented humanitarian conditions.